Fang Yuan said Jin:3.2gold1830Support bullish, crude oil short-term or pressure adjustment!

goldToday's analysis:

Fundamentals, yesterday's fundamentals US2monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value recorded47.3, less than expected. U.S.A2monthISMmanufacturingPMIRecorded47.7, lower than expected48And previous values47.4, of whichISMThe price payment data was significantly better than expected. After the release of the data, the Federal Reserve swap market once priced2023year9The monthly peak interest rate is5.50%。 In addition, according toCME"Fed observation",3Monthly interest rate increase50The probability of base points increases to30%。但概率提升并不代表美联储实际加息，所以昨日美指强势回落，金银油拉升。

金价周三上涨1%，强劲的中国经济数据打击美元，并推动一些人押注这个最大黄金消费国的实货需求将增加，但美国利率上升的风险限制了涨幅。现货黄金上涨0.5%Reported per ounce1836.50美元，盘中稍早触及1844.5美元的一周来最高。美国期金结算价报每盎司1845.40USD, up0.5%。中国公布强劲数据以及一些国家考虑继续加息之际，美元兑其他货币下跌，为黄金市场提供了一些支持。未来两周的美国就业和消费者物价报告将帮助投资者评估利率的走向。

黄金周三延续反弹，美元回落，提振金价第二个交易日走出反弹，守住千八关口进入反弹修正周期，日线收盘三连阳，不过KThe line entities are relatively small, and yesterday hit the previous high point of decline1845There is some suppression, pay attention to today's long short transition, if you can continue to1845If the position is under pressure and falls back, the bearish trend remains unchanged, otherwise it breaks through and closes at1845.Breaking the weak downward channel, short-term rebound, or possibly a reversal. Enter the selection with plenty of time.

从技术面来看，日线形成三连阳，布林收口明显，上方可以看到1890，暂时虽然受压在布林中轨之下，但上方空间还是很大，只要没有大跌出现，这种走势还是对多头有很强的期待。随着上涨空间加大，H4周期的布林向上开口，暂时5，10日均线形成强势单边上涨，日内关注单边均线支撑点1830附近，所以，做多需依靠此点位支撑看涨，如果美盘之前破位1845压制，上方就难见高点，美盘继续上涨可见1860，如果美盘之前不出新高，则有一轮震荡行情出现。所以，黄金在周四的交易原则还是以低多为主。


操作建议：早间1830Multiple, stop loss1825, Objective1840-50(Real time market in session guidance)

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crude oil今日分析；

交易商消化最新美国石油供应报告和中国经济数据，原油futures在摇摆中微幅收高，并创两周新高。美国能源情报署公布，美国原油供应连续第10周增加，但也是五周以来最小的单周增幅。与此同时中国公布了一轮乐观的经济活动数据。

原油在日线走势上继续维持在宽幅的区间震荡中，在4小时级别走势上目前暂时在78一带承压目前的价格也基本触及到下行趋势线的压力位附近，小时级别走势上目前暂时维持在高位的窄幅震荡中要注意原油在连续拉升之后的调整。

Operation suggestions:77.9-78Near empty, stop loss78.7, Objective77-76.3（实时行盘中指导)


In addition to investing, life also includes poetry and distance. The article lacks too much fancy language and chicken soup. I believe that what every reader lacks is not chicken soup, but practical analysis and strong theory. I am Teacher Fang Yuan. If there are orders in the warehouse or there are serious losses in the near future, you can add Fang Yuan [official WeChat:fysj87,Official account: Fang Yuanshuijin] For help, I will take the time to give you some suggestions for reference. I hope this article can give you some help in your transaction. Finally, I wish you a happy transaction.