Fang Yuan:4.25Gold high level consolidation, crude oil bottoming out and rebounding, and intraday market trend points...

Tuesday(4month25day)Asian period, spotgoldSlightly fluctuating, once touched2000Pass, currently trading at1993.56dollar/Nearby ounces, overnight data display4Manufacturing activity in Texas shrank in July, the market's expectation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in the year rose, the dollar index fell to a new low for more than a week, the market's fear of the US debt crisis rose, and the US bond yield fell to a new low for more than a week, providing support for gold prices.

Attention should be paid to the United States on the Japanese trading day of this transaction3Yearly total sales of new homes after seasonal adjustment and in the United States4The performance of the consumer confidence index of the monthly consultation chamber of commerce, pay attention to the relevant news of the geographical situation.


Analysis of gold market trend:


Yesterday, the overall trend of gold fluctuated and rose slowly, with the Asian market falling and the European market rebounding. Therefore, the pullback before the US market was a bait for the short. However, yesterday's pullback force was too strong and there was a hint of accelerating to catch up with the bottom. Therefore, yesterday, I gave up short selling. The original idea was to gradually start getting much lower, coupled with the strong European market, so short orders would definitely not dare to open their positions. The low and high thinking below was also very correct, and the market also rebounded smoothly, Collect a cross with a long down lead on the daily lineKThis kind of closing means that the support below is effective, and the market may face a rebound. In addition, the moving average of last week's line is a bold bullish trend, so we have started to lower a lot recently!


Gold trapped4The hourly level range fluctuation adjustment is also a high level fluctuation, but the medium-term bullish pattern has not changed, and the current adjustment has not fallen below the key support area1950On the first line, the gold daily chart shows that the gold price is2015The lower range fluctuates, with short-term repair indicators being the main focus, while the medium-term overall direction remains bullish. The key support areas in the middle stage below are concentrated1950In the short term, the region is surrounded by gold2015The lower level fluctuates, and the daily and weekly levels simultaneously show that gold prices remain at high levels of volatility. This is a typical strong correction, rather than a peak and fall. From a fundamental perspective, there is no factor supporting further decline in gold prices.


Golden Operation Strategy:2000-2004Nearby empty, see you2008-10Fill in the gap2015Unchanged, target oriented1980-1970-1930


1974-76Loss1970, look at the goal1982-1988(Real time market in session guidance)

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Oil prices closed higher on Monday, reversing the decline as investors were optimistic that China's holiday tourism would boost fuel demand in the world's largest oil importing country. Last week, both major contracts plummeted due to a decrease in implicit gasoline demand in the United States compared to the same period last year5%The above is the first weekly decline in five weeks. China's overseas travel bookings during the upcoming May Day holiday indicate that travel to Asian countries will continue to recover, but due to the soaring prices of long-distance air tickets and insufficient flights, these numbers are still far lower than before the pandemic. Mizuho Bank EnergyfuturesThe director said, "There is a lot of optimism around the Chinese holiday because it involves aviation coal demand, which is the first real number of demand construction in ChinaOPEC+Oil producing countries plan to start from5Starting from the beginning of the month, additional supply cuts may also boost prices due to tight supply.


crude oilMarket trend analysis:


Yesterday, crude oil fell and rebounded to the close of the small positive line, with a slight stop in the daily double positive trend. After a previous wave of negative returns, it began to turn positive. And there is a continuous positive, the strength depends on the first trading day. After the current double positive, today is the key. The weak rebound is only three times, and if it exceeds three, it will form a strong reversal. At present, whether to rebound and correct or stop the decline and rebound is waiting for daily confirmation. Yesterday, I was on a second visit76.70The low point has stabilized and rebounded, and this small level of platform support is expected to rebound in the short term.


Operation suggestion: Asian and European disk withdrawal78.0-78.20Take a look around and defend77.0You can see the target79.50-80.5(Real time market in session guidance)



In addition to investing, life also includes poetry and distance. The article lacks too much fancy language and chicken soup. I believe that what every reader lacks is not chicken soup, but practical analysis and strong theory. I am Teacher Fang Yuan. If there are orders in the warehouse or there are serious losses in the near future, you can add Fang Yuan [official WeChat account]:qli19888,Official account: Fang Yuanshuijin] For help, I will take the time to give you some suggestions for reference. I hope this article can give you some help in your transaction. Finally, I wish you a happy transaction.