Vantage FXWanzhi: AUD to USD8month10Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

　Industrial Investment:
　　澳元隔夜亚市早盘快速下探0.7850上方水平后温和反弹，基本收复了亚市跌幅，收录锤子线阴线。今日亚市早盘进一步走高，但仍处于短线下行趋势中。此前澳储行副主席表达了对澳元走高的担忧，打压澳元，不过，由于美元未能进一步走高，缓和了汇价跌势。日内汇价仍将有望受到美元走势推动。
Daily chart5/10日均线形成死叉，可能继续压制汇价走低。4小时图小幅反弹测试下降趋势，不破将有望延续跌势，小时图温和反弹，但力度有限。日内建议短期趋势线附近做空，先看0.7850frontline.
Deng Fute:
AUD/美元日线图回调到0.7650获支撑企稳回升，限制了近期回调空间的展开。从小时图走势来看，澳元/美元在均线系统的压制作用下延续了短线的客观跌势，澳元经过8month8日以来的下落之后，当前围绕下落低点0.7855有重新构筑新的次要节奏的迹象，预计澳元反弹到0.7900负遇阻短线的跌势持续。短线阻力0.7920,0.7950;brace0.7855,0.7790。
　　britainSVS：
　　周三澳元/美元维持下跌，交投于0.7855后，收跌于0.7879。澳大利亚经济数据打压澳元/美元。澳大利亚 8month 西太平洋/墨尔本消费者信心指数月率录得-1.20%, Previous value0.40%. China7monthCPI年率上涨1.4%，预期上涨1.5%，前值上涨1.5%. China7monthPPIYear-on-year growth5.5%,expect 5.6%,Previous value 5.5%。澳大利亚将公布8月通胀数据，该数据前值为4.4%。技术面来看，澳元/美元维持下跌，汇价维持在向下的20SMA下方，技术指标维持整理，处在消极区域，自上周以来汇价走出更低的低位。
Dahua Bank:
AUD/美元：中性，除非重返0.7945否则承压。澳元上日跌破整固区间0.7870/0.8040，低见0.7855。尽管澳元前景依旧被视为中性，但下行动能已经改善，除非能重返0.7945上方，否则仍将承受下行压力。也就是说，持续跌破0.7830的可能性不大。
　　Vantage FX万致观点：
　　AUD/USD：澳元延续震荡回落行情，早盘汇价跌破0.7900，技术形态上汇价在20日均线之下，短线动能指标转弱，操作上高空为主。

Upper pressure

0.7930, lower support0.7850。

　　事件热议：

Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

20:30U.S.A7Monthly Producer Price Index(the annual rate)+2.0%+2.3%Waiting

20:30U.S.A7Monthly Core Producer Price Index(the annual rate)+1.9%+2.1%Waiting

20:30Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States after last week's quarterly adjustment(ten thousand people)(to0805)24.024.0Waiting

20:30Four week average of initial jobless claims in the United States after last week's quarterly adjustment(ten thousand people)(to0805)24.175Waiting

21:45Bloomberg Consumer Confidence Index for the Week in the United States(to0806)49.6Waiting

22:30Last week in the United StatesEIAChanges in natural gas inventory(Billion cubic feet)(to0804)+200+360Waiting

　　关注点：如何投资foreign exchange_外汇投资入门与技巧（www.vantagefx.com.cn/press-releases/x17071701）
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