Chu Moyu:8.7原油迎来超级周，原油走势分析及操作建议

Chu Moyu:8.7crude oil迎来超级周，原油走势分析及操作建议


Message: Investment is an art of personal thinking and market communication. From analyzing the market to establishing investment plans, there has never been a definite thing. Whether it is fundamental analysis or technical analysis, it can only analyze a probability of market changes. Each method has its strengths and weaknesses. The method of completely accurately predicting the market did not exist before and will never be found in the future. Analysis is the process of searching for high probability events in uncertain markets, capturing key variables among numerous influencing factors, and analyzing the market. The process of analyzing the market is the process of investors communicating with the market with their own thoughts and perspectives. The results of communication determine how investors make decisions and the effectiveness of their decisions.
                 
　　——原油消息面——


Monday(8month7day)亚市盘初，油价微幅震荡。WTIcrude oil9monthfuturesTrading in49.56dollar/Near the barrel, the decrease is approximately0.04%;Brent crude oil10Monthly futures trading on52.41dollar/Near the barrel, the decrease is approximately0.02%。本周迎来油市超级周，部分OPECAnd nonOPECOil producing countries will8month7day-8日召开会议探讨减产履约率问题。除了每周例行公布的美国APIandEIA原油库存报告之外，还将公布EIA月报、OPECMonthly report andIEA月报。投资者需对此密切关注。上周五(8month4day)U.S.AWTI9The electronic price of monthly crude oil futures closed higher0.59USD, increase1.21%Report49.52dollar/桶，周线下跌0.53%;ICEBrent10The electronic price of monthly crude oil futures closed higher0.53USD, increase1.02%Report52.46dollar/桶，周线上涨0.27%。强劲的美国就业报告提振了能源需求增长的希望，油价周五涨逾1%。但全球原油库存水平高企的现状未改，以及美元走强限制油价上行空间。


　　原油，在减产的道路上，欧佩克确实做出了表率，本年度的欧佩克会议上达成了减产的协议，并且一直维持减产协议不变，原油的库存随着减产协议的不断落实，后市降库存只是时间问题，也就是说油市将会维持平衡，而近期美原油的困存量在持续减少，不断提振油价，这也就是为什么油价不断走高，那么我们可以看到欧佩克和非欧佩克在抬高油价上做了不少功夫，那么油价的上涨也将会延续。
              
​　　——原油行情分析及操作建议——


　　上周原油价格最低下探至48.48dollar/盎司，上周五美市盘中油价油价大幅拉升，最高至49.6美元附近，刷新日内高点；上周原油价格，周中基本维持在高位宽幅震荡，上周周初延续涨势继续上行，至上周二盘中短线冲高触及50美元大关，不过随后大幅跳水至49美元下方；短线四小时图上可以看出金价逐渐走出一个震荡三角形态，若是上破三角趋势线，那么后市继续看涨；技术面上，K线运行于布林带中轨线上方，布林带开口向上延伸发展；从高点50.4connect50的短期下行趋势阻力点在49.7这个位置，而当前需要关注的支撑点则是在48.6附近，也就是近期一直未能下破的支撑点，上方则关注49.8-50阻力点。综合来看，日内油价继续看涨，操作上薇xummbb墨玉家幺玖建议回撤做多为主。


Operation suggestions:


　　1Suggest a rebound49.8Empty order entry, stop loss0.4USD, target49frontline;


　　2Suggest callback48.7Multiple orders entering, stop loss0.4USD, target49.5frontline;


　　3、建议激进27.1-31.2做单进场，止损0.9USD, target64。