On Oil and Gold-罗老师：黄金实时行情分析策略【中环国际】

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Positive factors for news:

1.素有小非农之称的ADPThe employment report shows that the United States7monthADPIncrease in employment17.8万，不及预期的19万人，且连续两个月降低，恐暗示美国的就业市场趋缓。
2.美国圣路易斯联储主席布拉德周三表示，他支持在9月会议上调整再投资政策，但不会支持年内再次加息。他表示今年上半年通胀指标恶化，如果近期FOMC会议按兵不动，或更快达到通胀目标。
3.The US Department of Commerce announced on Tuesday that,6月个人支出较前月增加0.1%, estimated to increase0.1%；6月个人所得较前月持平，结束了7个月连涨态势，预估为增加0.4%。
4.周二美联储高度关注的通胀指标，6Monthly CorePCEThe price index has increased compared to the previous month0.1%, estimated to increase0.1%；6Monthly CorePCEThe price index has increased compared to the same period last year1.5%，好于预期，与前值修正值持平，但仍与2%的目标值相距甚远
5.American Supply Management Association(ISM)According to data released on Tuesday, the United States7月制造业指数下跌，且低于预估。7The monthly manufacturing index is56.3, estimated to be56.5，6Month is57.8。
Negative factors on the news side:
1.美国克利夫兰联储主席梅斯特周三称，尽管通胀疲弱，但她依然支持循序渐进地升息。她认为，每年升息三次是合适的，可以避免经济过热，和投资者为追逐收益进行“风险过高的”押注。
2.美国旧金山联储主席威廉姆斯周三发表讲话称，鉴于劳动力市场的状况以及通货膨胀向2%回升，今年再加息一次，明年加息三次这样的做法可能是适当的。同时，今年9月会议似乎是美联储(FED)宣布缩表的合适时机，在9Month or12月宣布不会对经济产生明显的影响。
3.The world's largest silverETF--iShares Silver TrustPosition decrease compared to the previous day36.74Tons, current position is10592.33Tons.
4.National Real Estate Association(NAR)Announced on Monday, USA6The monthly housing completion index has increased compared to the previous month1.5%, to110.2, estimated to be growth0.7%，5Month is108.6。
技术面上看，日线级别，隔夜金价上探1272.89美元后再度回落，日内稍早更是一度下探1256.78USD. In terms of indicators,MACD红色动能柱持续收缩，双线金叉开口略微收敛，KDJ指标高位回落。但在跌破200Daily moving average1230美元之前，中期风险仍偏上行。60分钟级别来看，短期可能运行震荡修正，但只要守住1250美元附近支撑(50Japan and Japan100Daily moving average)，后市就仍有望看向1278/80美元的回撤位阻力。
Golden Operation Strategy:
今日激进者建议利用金价向1260-1257美元回落的机会谨慎、轻仓逢低做多，止损设1254Below the US dollar, look at the target1266-1269美元及以上。
稳健者可以利用金价向上回调1266美元附近逢高空，止损1268美元即可，目标看1260Around the US dollar.

crude oilOperation strategy:

原油昨晚冲破46.30高点，极弱转为震荡。今日将原油当震荡，预计其很难走出单边，在49-49.8区间震荡，在此高抛低吸操作即可。

Investment carries risks and requires caution in operation,The above strategies are for personal reference only!
Today's key focus on financial data and events

2017year8month2dayWednesday
① 13:45 Switzerland7Monthly Consumer Confidence Index
② 15:15 Switzerland6Monthly actual retail sales annual rate
③ 17:00 eurozone6monthPPIMonthly rate
④ 20:15 U.S.A7monthADPEmployment numbers
⑤ 22:30 From the United States to7month28Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory

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