Xiao Yufan:7.31Closing of monthly line Evening goldTDsilverTDMarket analysis and operational suggestions

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Last week, precious metals continued to rise, mainly benefiting from the performance of the US Congress and the Federal Reserve. At the beginning of last week, the political turmoil in the White House gradually faded, which led to a drop in gold prices. However, on Tuesday, the House of Representatives passed a bill to sanction Russia, causing further tension between the two sides. On the same day, the Trump healthcare reform bill failed in the Senate vote. Previously, he had stated that he would pass healthcare reform and then carry out tax reform. This failure made his future policy deployment even more distant, and the market's expectations of whether his stimulus policy could be implemented were biased towards negative, providing support for gold and silver prices. The shining appearance of the Federal Reserve on Thursday propelled the rise of gold and silver. The Federal Reserve released early Thursday morning7In the monthly meeting statement, some key wording has changed, and the actual second quarter of the United States was released on the last dayGDPIt meets the expectations of all parties and is much higher than the previous value, but it has been proven that this is not enough to offset the impact of the Federal Reserve's "pigeon" sound,goldAfter a slight decline, it continued to rise. The news of North Korea's missile test has pushed last week's upward trend to a climax. North Korea28The second test launch of a ballistic missile capable of flying to mainland America in the evening ignited a final frenzy among the bulls, with goldTDThe price once soared to275Above the checkpoint. silverTDThe price has also risen3830upper.
　　
The focus of this week is on the monthly non farm payroll report, which will be released on Friday. According to the median expected in the data survey,7The monthly non-agricultural employment population is expected to increase18.3Ten thousand, previous value growth22.8ten thousand;It is expected that the unemployment rate will decrease4.3%;It is expected that the annual rate of hourly salary increase will narrow to2.4%But the monthly rate will expand to0.3%The actual performance of the data is expected to become an important basis for market outlook on the policy prospects of the Federal Reserve. except7Monthly non farm employment numbers, gold investors will also be baptized by data from the United States, including the latest initial application data7monthADPEmployment and manufacturing industryPMIIndex, factory ordersISMNon manufacturing index and trade account. These data that directly reflect the economic situation in the United States may affect the US dollar, thereby affecting the trend of gold and silver prices. In other countries, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, and Governor Carney will hold a press conference afterwards.
　　
GoldTDTrend analysis:

　　

Today, the price of paper gold slightly declined, as of Beijing time16：01, now trading in273.96, Down0.37%, opened early today275.16The highest price of the day once rose to275.28Lowest price273.71. From goldT+DLooking at the weekly chart, the causemacdDead cross shrinkage bonding transforms into golden cross andRSIThe hook is fixed upwards, so the weekly pattern remains bullish. The same moving average indicator shows a bullish arrangement, and currently the short-term suppression above is278First line, followed by upper rail280First line. The change of the Bollinger Bands from last week's three track contraction to the current flat upper track indicates the strength of the bulls. Judging the current suppression based on the convergence triangle of the weekly chart combined with the Fibonacci callback line277-278First line. goldTDOn the daily chart,KLine receiving yang, on the station40Daily moving average, indicatorMACDThe golden cross and red pillar can stretch and are expected to rise further. goldTD4On the hourly chart trend, the Bollinger Bands open upwards, with indicatorsMACDThe golden cross is upward, and the red column can stretch, but the strength indicator is weakRSITurning downwards, it is expected that the gold industry will make some adjustments before continuing its upward trend. In summary, Xiao Yufan suggests that investors pay attention to277-280Resistance, supported by272Nearby, in terms of operation, it is possible to consider stepping back to support for a low to high level layout.
　　
Evening GoldTDOperation suggestions:274.50-275Nearby, stop loss274, Objective276-276.50, take a break to see277。
　　
SilverTDTrend analysis:

　　

Monday SilverT+DThe price trend has fallen into a sideways consolidation, and currently silverT+DPrice trading3822element/Around kilograms. Tonight, the market will welcome multiple heavyweight data, which is expected to have an impact on silverTDThe price brings short-term fluctuations. silverTDOn the hourly chart, from the perspective of indicators, the Bollinger Belt's three tracks are flat,kThe line runs on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt,KDJThe three indicators turn downwards,MACDThe indicators are flat, and the green bar is increasing in volume. silverTDAt present, it has already broken through3800Da Guan, according to the current trend, silver prices will continue to rise4000Da Guan, but the overall trend will be mainly slow to rise, after all, silverT+DStill in a volatile rebound trend, although similar to gold, it is still slightly weaker compared to gold. Therefore, silverTDDuring the upward trend, there may be multiple attempts to explore resistance positions, leading to an upward trend-Step back-Then it rises and eventually breaks through resistance, so if silverTDWhen there is a decline, investors should not blindly pursue short positions. Focus on the pressure above in the evening3837and3850One line of resistance, pay attention below3803If there is no strong upward pressure to break through, then silver will provide support on the front lineTDThere may be a short-term correction trend. It is not recommended to pursue high and multiple orders. In terms of operation, Xiao Yufan suggests stepping back3800Nearby support does not break through much lower.
　　
Evening SilverTDOperation suggestions:3800-3810Nearby, stop loss3780Stop profit target3840-3850。
Text: Xiao Yufan Author's Innovationxyf9996