Fang Yuan said Jin:4.4High volatility of gold and crude oil, analysis and operation of today's market trend...

Tuesday(4month4day)At the beginning of the Asian market, in stockgoldVolatile and slightly lower, currently trading in1979.16dollar/Around ounces. On Monday, gold prices bottomed out and rebounded. Earlier, due toOPEC+Unexpected production cuts led to a surge in oil prices, exacerbating inflation concerns, and gold prices briefly fell to1950Near the checkpoint, but thenOPEC+The impact of reduced production has subsided,ISMmanufacturingPMIThe data recorded the worst performance in nearly three years, with the US dollar index transitioning from a rise to a fall, and US bond yields continuing their decline last Friday. Gold prices briefly rose to1990Near the checkpoint.

Focus on the United States within the day2monthJOLTsJob vacancies, United States2Monthly rate of factory orders and the United States2Revised monthly rate for durable goods orders. Important events to pay attention to on the same day: the European Central Bank releases a consumer expectations survey report, Bank of England member Tenrero delivers a speech, and the European Central Bank Regulatory CommissionSimkusGive a speech. Based on yesterday's data performance, it is expected that the European and American markets will continue to be positive for the strengthening of gold prices. Therefore, today's operation is still bearish and bullish.

Analysis of gold market trend:

Yesterday, the daily line received a small sun pillar with a long shadow, and the Bollinger belt was about to shrink and choose a new direction,KDJThe index is expected to form a golden cross, but the price is still generally upward.4From the hourly chart, it can be seen that the price is still operating within the triangular region, with the opening of the Bollinger belt,KDJThe indicators are expected to form a dead cross, and there is a need for correction and repair in the short term. From the hour chart, it can be seen that the Bollinger belt is about to shrink,KDJThe indicator is heavily skewed and focuses on the downward trend first. After a slight downward correction, it is expected that the above behavior will continue. Follow below within the day1970/1956Frontline support, attention from above1990/2000/2009First line pressure.

4The hourly chart rose steadily from the lower track to the upper track yesterday. It broke the high point of last Friday, but is still on the upper track of the triangle range and has been suppressed. Today, we will still pay attention to it1990Nearby resistance strength. The strength of the European market is determined by its strength, and if it breaks through, it will continue to be bullish. If it does not break through, it will continue to be bullish1990-1960The triangular interval oscillates back and forth. Short line operation is acceptable, step back and approach the lower track1960-1970If you choose another area, it will be much cheaper. If Europa can break through strongly1990Resistance, then follow the trend in the face of the market, and before breaking through, the Asian stock market dare not overestimate to avoid roller coaster style back and forth shaking and washing.


Operational strategy: Gold1986Near empty, stop loss1991.5, Objective1970； 1970Nearby, stop loss1964.5, Objective1985-2000(For reference only, specific firm offer shall prevail)


Headquartered in ParisIEAIn a statement, it was stated that "the global oil market is2023In the second half of this year, it has been confirmed that there will be a tightening, and there is a possibility of a large-scale supply shortage. A new roundOPEC+Reducing production may exacerbate this tense situation and drive up oil prices at a time when strong inflationary pressures are hitting vulnerable consumers around the world Overall,OPEC+Unexpected announcement of production reduction raises concerns about supply tightening, Saudi Arabia may increase5Sold to Asia in the monthcrude oilPrice, coupled with geopolitical tensions, maintains an upward view on oil prices, with short-term attentionAPIData and speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Analysis of crude oil market trend:

On the crude oil daily chart, the previous trading day's high closed with a long shadow and a negative line, indicating some support. From a morphological perspective, the market is still within the previous wide range of fluctuations and adjustments. Although it is relatively strong in the short term, it is difficult to say that the market will rise significantly before effectively breaking through this range. Confirm the step back after jumping high yesterday79.0Stable start on the first line, European and American markets have been maintaining a low point in the Asian market79.0Running above, daily crossKLine sorting correction, stimulated by the news surface, leads to a strong wave of jumping high and opening high, with some areas not accompanied by a high and falling back after the high opening, replacing step back correction with sorting. As of now, the high volatility has not yet ended, so short-term oil prices will continue to test the vicinity of yesterday's high before coming under pressure again, so we will continue to wait for high-altitude opportunities.

Crude oil operation suggestions81.2Empty, stop loss817., Objective80-79.5-79； Or at a lower level, if we first fall back to79.70You can also try doing more first. (For reference only, specific firm offer shall prevail)


In addition to investing, life also includes poetry and distance. The article lacks too much fancy language and chicken soup. I believe that what every reader lacks is not chicken soup, but practical analysis and strong theory. I am Teacher Fang Yuan. If there are orders in the warehouse or there are serious losses in the near future, you can add Fang Yuan [official WeChat account]:qli19888,Official account: Fang Yuanshuijin] For help, I will take the time to give you some suggestions for reference. I hope this article can give you some help in your transaction. Finally, I wish you a happy transaction.