Guide Metallographer:8.16Today's gold trend analysis shows that the continuous decline of gold continues to create a major negative trend

　　goldMessage interpretation:


The international gold price has declined as the US dollar index continues to rebound, and expectations of a significant interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve further weigh on gold. Investors will closely monitor the Federal Reserve's announcement this week7Monthly policy meeting minutes. The reason for the strengthening of the US dollar is that Federal Reserve policymakers remain vigilant about the inflation situation. Richmond Fed Chairman Barkin Last Friday(8month12day)He said he hopes to further raise interest rates to control inflation. "I hope to see inflation under control for a period of time. Before that, I believe we will raise interest rates even if we suppress economic growth," traders predict9Monthly interest rate increase at least50Basis points, but interest rate hikes75Less than a basis point probability50%. Investors will closely monitor the Federal Reserve's announcement on Wednesday7Monthly policy meeting minutes to search for more relevant clues on interest rate prospects. Although gold is seen as an inflation hedge, the rise in US interest rates has weakened the attractiveness of non yield asset gold.


Today's Focus:


　　14:00britain6Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate


　　14:00britain7Monthly unemployment rate


　　14:00britain7Number of applicants for monthly unemployment benefits(ten thousand people)


　　17:00Germany8monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index


　　17:00eurozone8monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index


　　17:00eurozone6Monthly adjusted trade account(100 million euros)


　　20:30Canada7monthCPIMonthly rate


　　20:30U.S.A7Annualized total monthly construction of new houses(10000 households)


　　20:30U.S.A7Total monthly construction permits(10000 households)


　　21:15U.S.A7Monthly Industrial Output Month


Technical analysis of gold:


From the daily chart, it can be seen that the fluctuation is rising;MACDThe golden cross crosses the zero axis and the Bollinger Line is initially open. The gold price is expected to move upwards along the Bollinger Line track in the future, with preliminary resistance reference1800At the checkpoint, last week's high point resistance1807.22Nearby, further resistance continues to refer to7month4Daily high point1814.16Nearby,6month30Resistance to daily highs1824.98nearby;100Daily moving average resistance1836.26Nearby. However,KDJThe high dead cross signal is still continuing, and the gold price has not effectively broken through for multiple trading days1800At the critical juncture, it is also necessary to guard against the risk of a return to a downward trend, with initial support in the10Daily moving average1784.68Nearby, then8month8Daily low point support at1770.58Nearby, if the support is lost, add a short-term bearish signal. The gold daily line is still in a pressure zone, and the upward momentum has not significantly weakened. but1The hourly cycle price does not reach a new high, and there is a false breakthrough in the form. In the short term, attention should be paid to it1784If the US dollar breaks down, the trend will change. In summary, the guidelines for today's gold operation are as follows: the gold teacher suggests focusing on rebounding from high altitude, with a short term focus on the upper part of the bullish market1792-1797Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1770-1765Frontline support.


Golden Operation Strategy:


Strategy 1: Gold rebounds1788-1790Short selling in batches nearby, stop loss6Points, target1780-1775Nearby, break down and take a look1770Frontline; (Suggested for reference only!)


Strategy 2: Gold Callback1772-1775Batch long nearby, stop loss5Points, target1785-1788Nearby, break down and take a look1790Frontline; (Suggested for reference only!)


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