Chen Zeqiang:7.15黄金原油行情走势分析，黄金原油交易操作策略

Acquaintance is fate, acquaintance is fate. I firmly believe that it is fate to meet for a thousand miles, and it is fate to wipe our shoulders without a share. The journey of investment is long, and temporary gains and losses are only the tip of the iceberg along the way. You should know that a wise man who has a thousand worries will have a loss, and a fool who has a thousand worries will have a gain. No matter how emotional you are, time will not stagnate due to you. Pick up the boredom in your heart and stand up again to pack up and move forward. At this moment, being able to read here indicates that you and I are destined. As long as you are willing to share your gains and losses with me, I will be happy to help you overcome difficulties and become your confidant on the investment journey. The stagnation of your heart makes you sit at the bottom of the well and sigh in the sky. Am I fortunate enough to accompany you as I pass by.

　　goldMarket trend analysis:

Thursday(7month14day)，国际金价重新走低，因美指再创2002year10月下旬以来新高至108.646，损害了其他货币持有者对美元计价黄金的需求。市场担心美联储本月可能会采取更激进的加息措施以对抗不断飙升的通胀。隔夜公布的数据显示，美国6月份消费者价格同比上涨9.1%, for40多年来的最大涨幅。数据公布后，金价一度下探2021year8月上旬以来新低1706.97dollar/盎司。市场现在预计，美联储将在7月末的政策会议上加息100个基点。高利率提升持有非孳息资产黄金的机会成本。但避险情绪限制了金价下行步伐。美国通胀加剧了对潜在衰退的持续担忧。两年期美国国债收益率进一步攀升，而较长期利率也走高。两年期和10年期收益率倒挂，市场发出潜在衰退信号。金价隔夜在逼近1700美元后出现客观涨幅，但上涨是在未平仓头寸减少的背景下出现的，因此进一步上涨前景受限。

　　黄金价格近期的弱势走势已经很明显了，近期的思路也一直是在看空，不管是美元屡创新高的势头还是美联储强烈的加息意愿，都在有力的打击着黄金的价格，而支撑黄金价格上涨的因素目前来看还是太少。日线级别，布林带持续开口向下，价格沿着下轨震荡下行，并且不断走出新的低点，昨晚基本按照预期去试探1700Near the checkpoint, although supported by some buying, prices continued to decline after a slight rebound.4When he was young, Brin took Ping away, and Brin brought him near the track, which is1745Horizontal resistance is formed on the first line, and the price has rebounded multiple times but failed to break through. The short-term trend is still volatile and short, and once the price falls below1700On the front line, the next goal is1680，日内操作思路继续看空，上方关注1735一线阻力。黄金策略：建议反弹1720Empty, stop loss1726, Objective1699(个人建议，仅供参考，盈亏自负)

　　【crude oil】

　　美油昨日先横盘震荡消化，欧美盘时段行情再度出现一波较大幅度下跌，跌破93支撑，跌至90.4一线，随后行情快速回弹拉升，最终又回到96上方，日线收得一极长下影线的十字星线。从日线结构上来看，目前美油也是严重超卖，严重的底部背离形态，技术上有超跌反弹需求，但近期市场对美油情绪极度不稳定，所以还是要多加防范。技术上，结合小时图走势，短线美油或有进一步回升反弹需要，日内下方关注93附近支撑，如果市场情绪转多，则预期不太可能再回撤此位，但也要做好市场情绪再度变卦的风险。日内上方则关注98附近压力，未来主压还是看100Integer level.

　　操作上，日内美油可进行择低短多操作，但目前情绪异动风险未完全解除，所以务必要轻仓对待，高度谨慎。

　　①日内激进可在回踩95.5-3附近先轻仓短多，冒险亦可在96附近先尝试，统一带止损95Below, look at the target97Reduce positions nearby, change to break even and stop loss, and hold the remaining orders for further review5Daily line97.7-98一带再做减仓，可适度保留部分持单看后期回弹10Daily line100整数位附近的可能。

　　②如果日内行情回撤回95以下，则下方有待回撤94、93.5-2再尝试短多，带止损93Below, let's take a look at the target first95-96之间减仓，剩余持单根据情况再做进一步调整。

This article is exclusively authored by analyst Chen Zeqiang. I have always been passionate about the gold and crude oil markets. Due to the delay in online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source when reprinting