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Guide Metallographer:7.6今日黄金走势分析,衰退言论甚嚣

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  goldMessage interpretation:

  7month6日周三亚市盘中,国际黄金走势低位横盘,金价早间开盘价格1764The US dollar has risen to a maximum of1772USD, lowest drop to1762美元,刷新年内新低。

  周二黄金价格大跌,单日跌幅超过40美元,指南金师认为,这主要是因为全球央行激进加息背景下,市场预计将会引起经济衰退,而受地缘局势影响,欧元区受到能源问题困扰,加大了经济衰退的风险,市场避险情绪高涨,然而投资者却并没有选择黄金,而是首先选择了美元,这推动美元飙升,美元指数创造近20年新高,对黄金的打压明显。

  消息方面,市场对经济衰退的担忧,在周二推动避险情绪快速升温,欧元区受能源问题困扰,经济衰退风险更大,而美国则暂时不会卷入欧洲的能源危机,这使得美联储可以继续坚持其激进的货币政策,提高了美元的吸引力,美元成为市场首先避险资产,美元指数创20年来新高,同时创造2020year3月疫情重创市场以来的单日最大涨幅,而欧元则跌至20年来新低,同时创造2020year3月以来的最大单日跌幅。

  接下来市场焦点,将主要集中在今晚的美联储会议纪要,希望从中获得更多关于加息幅度的线索,而在最近一段时间,已经有多位美联储官员发表鹰派言论,支持美联储在7Monthly interest rate hike75个基点,此外一些鸽派的官员,其加息立场也逐渐变得激进。如果本次会议有迹象表明,美联储对7Monthly interest rate hike75个基点逐渐达成共识,金价前景可能继续偏向空头。

Technical analysis of gold:

  今日日早盘我们就提前研判了黄金的两种走势:反弹跌或者直接跌。昨日大阴收线,尾盘以及今日早盘开盘都是低位,那么如果要走反弹一定是出现在今日早盘或者说2点之前,早盘不跌,欧盘反弹的概率很低。金价昨日最低跌到1765后小时线长期维持低位横盘,这实际上就是一种低位的横盘修复,修复时间越长,继续走低的可能性越低,因此我们早盘直接第一波给出1770-72空看跌,第一波到1762Currently1770空单再次上车,只要跌破再次跌破1765,那么下方1762肯定不保,晚间还有低点。

  今天最好是不考虑去参与多单,如果实在想多一定是美盘后半段,或者说金价在深跌之后去参与。 接多时间越晚相对而言越安全,下方关键支撑就是1750,一旦跌破1750晚间还会有一波瀑布!如果确实想接多,考虑在晚间22点以后在1750-53一带看是否有机会

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