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goldMessage interpretation:
Monday(6month27day),国际金价上涨,因为一些G7国家计划正式禁止从俄罗斯进口黄金,引发了投资者对黄金的一些兴趣。但市场不会因此发生结构性变化,利率上升和经济衰退前景加剧料很快重新主导市场情绪。G7对俄罗斯黄金进口禁令似乎在亚市早盘(transaction)提供了一些短期支持,但对于该集团来说,这实际上只是一个橡皮图章练习,我预计这不会标志着供需前景的结构性变化。”
七国集团(G7)中的四个成员英国、美国、日本和加拿大上周日(6month26day)开始禁止进口俄罗斯黄金,以加强对莫斯科的制裁,并切断其为入侵乌克兰提供资金的手段。但欧洲理事会主席米歇尔表示,这个问题需要谨慎处理并展开进一步讨论。德国总理舒尔茨周一也表示,处在讨论当中的俄罗斯黄金进口禁令必须与所有欧盟国家展开讨论。
市场关注美国耐用品订单数据。值得注意的是,上周公布的美国Markit采购经理人指数数据悲观,制造业和服务业采购经理人指数均现疲弱。这可能是通货膨胀飙升造成的结果,通胀飙升影响家庭薪水,从而降低耐用品需求。上周美元指数依然低迷,预计在经济数据持续低迷的情况下将维持疲弱。因此若耐用品订单数据也悲观,料严重打压美元指数,并利好金价。黄金被视为通胀对冲工具,但较高的利率会提高持有非孳息黄金的机会成本。
Technical analysis of gold:
Gold rebounded last week and resumed its recovery after pressure testing, confirming the current weak state of the market. Today, we will pay attention to it first1820Competition, but as time passes, the probability of this position falling will also increase. Once it falls, you can pay more attention below1812-10Competition, even under the influence of extreme emotions, the market may retreat to1805-00The possibility of finding support in the area. Stay tuned above in the evening1830-33Short term pressure band, if the market wants to reverse today, stand up1830The above is a technical requirement, but even if one stands firm1830Above, there may not be strong rebound momentum in the short term, as the current fundamentals are relatively light, and the impact on the US dollar trend in the short term should be particularly concerned.
黄金周一虽然在1820位置获得支撑,但是反弹力度不足,和此前的强势反弹不同,也说明多头力度开始衰竭,下跌即将开启,一旦破位,行情将直接跌至1815even to the extent that1800Location. After adjusting for the gold shock, we have chosen our direction again. Although the current market volatility is not significant, it is already the calm before the storm. The storm is about to strike, so we will continue to hold short and wait for the market to break through and decline! In summary, the guide for gold today's operation is summarized by the gold expert. The gold expert suggests that the main focus should be on rebounding from high altitudes, with more rebounding from low altitudes as a supplement, and short-term attention should be paid to the top1840-1845Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1815Frontline support.
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