Guide Metallographer:6.25Morning gold trend analysis, gold remains unchanged and continues to be bearish

　　goldMessage interpretation:

At the beginning of the Asian market today, the US dollar index was trading at104.4Nearby, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated yesterday his "unconditional" commitment to fighting inflation,And he believes that the strength of the labor market is unsustainable. Powell's comments have sparked concerns that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates even further, while also increasing concerns about economic recession. A survey yesterday showed that due to high inflation and declining consumer confidence in the United States, demand has been comprehensively suppressed6The significant slowdown in monthly corporate activity has led to a slowdown in economic growth, and may even lead to an economic recession, which is a major issue. Currently, analysts at Citigroup predict that the probability of a global economic recession is close to50%。

In terms of precious metals, gold reversed its initial upward trend yesterday and ultimately closed lower. After Federal Reserve Chairman Powell emphasized that the Federal Reserve would tighten monetary policy to curb inflation, the US dollar regained momentum and suppressed gold, thereby weakening its attractiveness. Although gold is considered as a tool to hedge inflation and economic uncertainty, rising interest rates tend to raise bond yields, thus increasing the opportunity cost of holding non interest bearing gold. Gold is currently under pressure from the Federal Reserve to aggressively tighten monetary policy, despite its safe haven nature limiting its downside potential.

Technical analysis of gold:

Yesterday's low rebound of gold did not change the volatility, and the daily line followed a downward trend to recover and close positive. The overall operation is still within the range, with no obvious signs of unilateral breakthroughs. In the short term, it will still fall into a repeated tug of war, but temporarily in a downward trend of consolidation and correction. In terms of technical structure, the daily line is still fluctuating and slightly downward, but the short term is circuitous and repetitive.4After a negative drop of hours earlier, the single positive rose rapidly yesterday, but the closing was still unstable. The next day, there was still a slight rebound in the opening and a return to the east1836Oscillating operation below, rebound not closing high, lack of continuity, combined withKThe line structure and back and forth sawing are the main style, not the beginning of unilateral direction. In the short term, it may continue to maintain this wide range of oscillation sawing, with operations mainly focused on ultra short lines. The interval checkpoint is crucial. In summary, the guidelines for today's operation of gold suggest that the gold industry should focus on rebounding from high altitudes, supplemented by a pullback from low altitudes, with a focus on the above1848-1853Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1815-1820Frontline support.

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