Guide Metallographer:6.24今日黄金走势分析，黑色星期五恐有大行情！

　　goldMessage interpretation:

　　不惜经济下滑

　　美联储官员的最新预测显示，今年经济增长将放缓至低于趋势水平，而美国失业率(目前为3.6%)会开始走高。与此同时，他们现在预计到年底通胀率仅会下降至5.2%。

　　鲍威尔表示，美联储并非试图制造经济衰退来阻止通胀，而是全力控制物价，“我们不是试图引发，而且我认为我们不需要引发衰退。”但他承认，经济衰退肯定有可能，而且过去几个月全球范围内发生的一些事情使目标(确保不发生衰退并降低通胀)达成变得更加困难。

　　鲍威尔说：“这是我们的目标，但非常具有挑战性的，过去几个月发生的事件(战争和供应链问题)使得它变得更具挑战性。我们是否能够做到这一点的问题将在一定程度上取决于我们无法控制的因素。”

　　鲍威尔指出：“价格通胀是一个宏观经济问题。我们可以减少需求，但我们的工具无法影响能源和食品通胀，我们只能专注于我们可以解决的部分通胀。 ”

　　芝加哥联储主席埃文斯周三晚些时候表示，尽管他对衰退风险上升表示赞同，美联储没有能力非常精确地微调经济，但他目前对继续快速加息感到满意，决策层对于将利率升至具有适度限制性的水准存在“巨大”共识，“我们正在考虑的第一件事是确保我们从通胀压力中解脱出来。”

　　金价跌破200日移动平均线有利于空头，这表明金价的阻力最小路径是下行。不过，投资者谨慎的做法是等待强劲的后续抛压，然后为金价进一步跌破1800美元关口做好准备。

　　两党都不满意

　　鲍威尔承认，美联储本应更早采取行动，但这并没有让立法者感到多少安心。通胀成为一个棘手的政治问题——有可能在今年11月的中期选举中改变国会权力天平。

　　代表马萨诸塞州的民主党参议员沃伦指责美联储推动加息，这增加了可能导致数百万人失业的衰退风险。而路易斯安那州共和党参议员肯尼迪表示，高通胀对他的选民打击如此之大，以至于他们的骨头都要碎了。

　　在大流行的大部分时间里，民主党人都支持美联储的优先事项，即让劳动力市场恢复全面活力。共和党人抨击美联储对经济提供了过多的支持，并且长期以来一直警告说，如果政策制定者在去年通胀开始攀升时不开始加息，他们将落后于曲线。

　　III Capital ManagementChief Economist ofKarim Basta在研报中写道，总体而言，鲍威尔在美联储最近一次政策会议后的新闻发布会上讲话并没有太多意外，但他关于金融状况“显著收紧”的说法似乎意义重大，并可能预示着加息步伐放缓。

　　纽约BK资产管理公司董事总经理KATHY LIEN：“美元升值是美联储希望收紧金融状况的渠道之一，不会有任何形式的举措来缓解美元的涨势，无疑认可美元会进一步走强。

Technical analysis of gold:

　　黄金白盘如预期延续震荡回修，欧盘时段下方回撤至1823On the first line, the low point of the pullback is basically near the expected downward channel, and the market rebounded significantly before late trading. At one point, the upward pressure was measured to1847frontline. From the hourly chart structure, gold is retreating during the day1823The rebound in the vicinity is in line with technical expectations, but the current short-term rebound amplitude still appears to be relatively large, but it has not exceeded the expected range. However, after the current market rebounds below the moving average, the short-term trend also carries the risk of a change in price. Although gold has dropped to its lowest point today1822The low point, but it has stretched again and has reached the low point so far1840upper. Although falling below1830Many people believe that the trend has changed, but in fact, I once thought it might be about to reverse. However, gold has never physically broken through1825Here, so I also have doubts, it is likely to be a decoy. Sure enough, the current rebound is on the rise1840upper. At present, the areas that gold needs to pay attention to are still1835-30Here, it remains an important support position for gold.

Gold rebounded rapidly after today's negative decline, seemingly not small in magnitude, but it is still far from the open range（1820-1855），4Hours have been trading sideways for two consecutive days this week without any signs of reaching a high, as they fell behind yesterday1830The low point indicates that the short term is unable to further touch high and upward, but rather weakens after consolidation. Currently4The hour structure broke through the previous upward trend line of rebound, and reversed the weak trend and fell back, reaching today's high point1847.70To defend, we will first look for a downward trend today, and it is expected that the market will be weak. In the future, we will explore a downward trend first.1小时图稍显钝化。伴随整理式的阴跌，但空间又没释放，长时间的横向整理，短线节奏依旧是震荡式的，方向处于下行，昨日探高回落收低后，短期会先行走弱。综合来看，黄金今日短线操作思路上指南金师建议以反弹高空为主，回踩做多为辅，上方短期关注1850-1855Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1820-1823Frontline support.

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