Yu Yue on Jin:3.29黄金原油今日最新行情走势分析及多空操作...

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goldLatest Market Analysis



Analysis of Gold News: Monday(3month28day)美市早盘，现货黄金下跌不到1%Trading in1930美元下方，稍早一度触及1916.77美元低点。受美国国债收益率飙升和美元走强的拖累，且俄罗斯和乌克兰和平谈判取得进展的希望削弱了对这种避险金属的需求。数据显示，COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract Beijing Time3month28day22:21Instant trading within one minute2371Hand, total value of trading contracts4.60亿美元。受美联储将引领全球央行大举收紧政策的预期推动，美国国债继续遭到抛售，金价跌幅一度高达1.6%。 U.S.A10The yield of one-year treasury bond bonds climbed to2.5%以上，创下2019year5月以来的最高水平，也突破了自上世纪80年代末以来的技术趋势线，令无息黄金承压。



　　黄金技术面分析：黄金从日线级别来看，黄金今日早盘开高走低，日内亚欧盘持续性下挫，最低下跌至1924美元附近止跌反弹，美市盘初反弹至1945一线，技术面从日线以及小时图运行情况来看，日内走势虽然偏激异常，但并未走出预期的通道区间，只是这种节奏来得太过突然，导致操作上的难度非常大。通常这种下跌走势反弹后还会有二次下跌动作，黄金整体还是空头跌势，此前的反弹是对2070大跌的修正，而1966位置遇阻后将会再次开启下跌！美盘我们反弹后还是空，新一轮的跌势才刚刚开启，下方的关键支撑是1910，也是此前的盘整支撑位置。美盘反弹后继续空，美盘短线以震荡对待，高空反复参与，破位后直接跟进。



　　现在整体行情还是属于修正，所以出现刺破的情况比较正常，日内回撤1925附近止跌反弹到1945来说力度稍微大了一些，但小周期来说，短线上方空间不大，另外小周期超买背离形态严重，所以必然还有回落需求！对于这个回落来说，能否继续破底大跌就不好说了，所以晚间1943空，目前回落下来在1928-25区域，要么短线见好就收，要么减仓小损博弈！如果延续跌势，那么前面反弹高点1945不能突破，如果再度突破上去，那么今晚可能是一个宽幅扫荡行情！综上所述，今日黄金操作思路上余越论金建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方重点关注1935-1940Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1910-1905Frontline support.



　　crude oilLatest Market Analysis



Analysis of crude oil news: Monday(3month28day)，国际油价下跌超过5美元，因为在中国上海宣布分两批开展封控核酸筛查后，燃料需求短期内面临放缓。但市场仍受到俄乌战争不确定性影响。分析师表示，也门胡塞武装对沙特一个石油配送设施发动导弹袭击所引发的看涨反应已在上周五结束。但他预计，当石油输出国组织及其他产油国盟友(OPEC+)在本周四(3month31day)开会时，石油市场将转为看涨，因为OPEC+“不太可能以比近几个月更快的速度提高石油产量”。市场分析师说：“油价可能会在一段时间内保持在每桶100美元以上，因为随着俄罗斯的供应减少，全球供应只会变得更加紧张，而美国正要步入开车出游季节。”一位美国消息人士上周五表示，拜登政府正在考虑再次从战略石油储备中释放石油，如果实施，规模可能会超过本月稍早释放的3000万桶。当前地缘局势的担忧有所缓和，且美国、沙特和俄罗斯等产油大国都有增产的意愿，另外，全球疫情担忧有所升温。油价短期内可能有回调需求。



　　原油技术面分析：原油从日线上来看，美油震荡回落，低点跌回至105.8附近，导致原油持续震荡回落的主因也是和俄乌新一轮谈判的预期是分不开的。目前美油也非常规技术走势状态，行情受基本面影响会非常大，日内再次陷入下跌当中，日内的下跌幅度达到了5美金以上的空间，由于我们判断C浪的下跌已经到来了，而且价格还处在C1浪下行的初期，下方还具备较大的空间，



　　原油从四小时级别上看，原油在116.5-114二次见顶后出现了一波快速下跌走势，符合我们全天预期，后市我们关注油价反弹力度，上方多空分水岭在110水平，该位置不上破，油价有再次下跌概率，下行支撑关注104.5一线，进一步下破就需要关注101.1美元水平，进一步完成三浪加速。若是按预期形态成立的话，后市调整的空间还是会比较大，目前是在构造当中，周初还是超短线应对。形态与空间来临盘决定。综合来看：今日原油操作思路上余越论金建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注106-107Frontline resistance, short-term focus below102-101Frontline support.


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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.