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Yu Yue on Jin:3.29黄金今日还会涨吗?黄金原油操作建议及在...

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 goldLatest trend analysis:



Analysis of Gold News: Monday(3month28day),国际金价下跌超过1%,美元走强且美国10年期国债收益率在数月高点附近持稳,投资者对潜在的俄乌和谈的关注进一步削弱了黄金的避险吸引力。美元指数触及近三周新高99.312,使黄金对其他货币持有者而言变得更加昂贵。美国10年期国债收益率飙升至近三年高点,市场正在努力应对高通胀和美联储的鹰派态度。企业咨询机构AirGuideSupervisorMichael Langford说:“如果美国3月新增就业数据在50万左右或更高,我认为黄金短期内大幅下跌的可能性很大,因为这将支持美联储加快加息。围绕本周俄乌和谈取得进展的希望,打压了黄金的避险需求,而且美联储官员持续发表鹰派讲话,市场对连续50个点加息的预期升温,美债收益率持续走高,美元创两周新高,对金价打压明显,投资者需要提防金价大幅下跌的风险。日内关注俄乌局势进一步消息,新冠疫情相关消息和市场对本周将出炉的美国非农就业报告的预期变化。



  黄金技术面分析:黄金从日线级别来看,黄金上周五下探回升收高,最低回测1942一线启稳,尾盘时段回升收高。日线守住5日线上方,同时带动短期均线勾头金叉向上。周线收盘一根中阳线。收复了前一周近2/3的下跌失地。周线重新回归高位摸高当中,此前探高回落,第三个交易周没能连阴形成弱势下行。局部使得周线中期继续进入方向性的选择。日线双连阳反弹之后伴随小阴线回踩再启稳,局部守住在1938低点上方,日线周初依旧倾向于进一步反弹。而本周的多头临界点则在1938.此位之上短线偏多,失守则转空。4小时图下探守稳在布林道中轨上方。短线上升结构暂时未改变,突破之后再回踩启稳,有小周线台阶震荡向上的迹象,不过本周在摸高之后会进入中期抉择。是二次摸高还是多头重新强势向上?有待观察。摸高再承压回落就是构造二次顶部向下,反之走强破高则是强势延续。小时图目前向三角形震荡,低点1895-1910慢性震荡向上。综上所述,今日黄金操作思路上余越论金建议以反弹做空为主,回调做多为辅,上方重点关注1940-1945Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1920-1915Frontline support.



  crude oilLatest trend analysis:



Analysis of crude oil news: Monday(3month28日)亚欧时段,美原油震荡下跌,一度跌逾4%,创三日新低至108.28dollar/桶,因亚洲疫情严峻,市场对燃料需求放缓的担忧加剧,围绕本周俄乌和谈取得进展的希望,也削弱了供给不足的担忧,短线油价承压明显。在俄罗斯入侵乌克兰后,美国及其盟国对莫斯科实施经济制裁。分析人士对俄罗斯石油出口遭受何种程度打击有不同的估计。俄罗斯石油减供规模可能在100Wanzhi30010000 barrels/Day.Emori基金管理公司的首席执行官Tetsu Emori说:油价可能会在一段时间内保持在每桶100美元以上,因为随着俄罗斯的供应减少,全球供应只会变得更加紧张,而美国正要步入开车出游季节。一位美国消息人士上周五表示,拜登政府正在考虑再次从战略石油储备中释放石油,如果实施,规模可能会超过本月稍早释放的3000万桶。经济合作暨发展组织(OECD)的库存处于2014年以来的最低水平。Emori说:“鉴于库存已经很低,战略石油储备的释出数量将是有限的,这被视为对市场的另一个支持因素。



  原油从技术面来看,原油上周整体表现摸高确认阻力,周初先行延续上扬,最高触及116.60.周尾稍有回落,收盘在110.20附近。周线收盘一根中阳线,周线双连阴下挫后伴随阳K线二次摸高,第三个交易日周可当作是反弹确认,重点在于本周或下周的多空延续,来决定这波趋势是形成二次顶部回落还是高位震荡再向上。日线来看有轻微承压回落迹象。4小时经过一波慢性连续上涨之后,上行量能稍有放缓,4小时布林道收口后收盘在中轨之下,削弱了上行动能。本周是一个多空转换的时间节点,空头若要有所表现,则本周会走高位回落,形成了二次探高转换回落,一旦收低,则是日线级别的B浪反弹结束,走日线结构的C浪调整,若是按预期形态成立的话,后市调整的空间还是会比较大,目前是在构造当中,周初还是超短线应对。形态与空间来临盘决定。综合来看,原油今日操作思路上余越论金建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期关注109.3-109.8Frontline resistance, short-term focus below105.0-104.5Frontline support.





  关于套牢:



  对于套牢之后的减仓或斩仓,以我的经验来看,投资者在做这样的操作时,下手必须要狠要果断,特别是在下跌趋势中。很多投资的都有这样的操作经历,套牢之后天天盼解套,终于等到有一天解套了,又不甘心了。我都拿了这么多天了,怎么也要赚一些钱。结果错过了最好的平仓机会,当市场重新进入,又再次被套。最终彻底绝望,丧失信心割肉出局。这是解套趋势中最忌讳的。



  套牢之后,无论如何处理都是被动的操作,解套固然是投资者必须掌握的基本功,但是投资者更应该把精力放在套牢之前,想办法提高分析技巧和买卖水平,尽可能减少被套牢的次数,始终占据资金和心态的主动。由于笔者余越论金不知道你们套单的点位以及仓位的详细情况,不好给出相应的解套策略,需要解套的可单线本人。



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    This article discusses the deduction of gold by Yu Yue  724952173,vx yylj10086As a contributor, I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Yu Yue discusses online solutions for gold, with loss recovery and real-time guidance on WeChat one-on-one. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online publishing, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Please indicate the source for reprinting.

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