Wang Mingxin8.5黄金原油行情走势分析操作建议预测走向，黄金强势突破新高附解套

Friday Beijing Time(7month5day)20:30，美国劳工部公布了美国7月非农报告。美国7Increase in non agricultural employment after the monthly adjustment16.4万人，与预期相符，前值为增加22.4Ten thousand people; United States7Monthly unemployment rate recorded3.7%，持平预期值和前值。投资者重点关注的美国7月平均每小时工资年率录得3.2%，预期值和前值为3.1%。非农报告出炉后，国际gold由跌转涨，短线波动10美元；国际白银短线由跌转涨，美元指数短线小幅上扬。


　　上周，国际金价一度跌至7month17日以来最低水准1400.43美元，因美元大涨。此前美联储如期开启近十年来首次降息，但打消了市场对长期宽松周期的预期。不过美国7月非农数据令美元走软，全球避险形势面临进一步恶化，金价终盘在时隔一周后重新收涨，并录得六周来最大单周涨幅1.59%。铭鑫 认为美联储9月再次降息的可能性为100%。


　　王铭鑫个人观点：过去一周，金融市场重磅事件频发，包括黄金和美元在内的主要资产震荡加剧，美元指数在连续数日攀升之后最终冲高回落，现货黄金则趁势攀升，直逼1450dollar/盎司关口。最后，压轴大戏非农出场，数据表现参差不齐，市场对美联储的降息预期依然高企，黄金因此最终震荡收涨。金价最初的抛售可能来自那些感到失望的交易员，他们原本预计美联储将采取更为激进的50个基点的举措。随着市场消化美联储的所有言论，预计金价仍将继续波动。铭鑫认为很多驱动黄金的消息现在已经被市场消化了，后市重点关注近期高点的破位情况，谨防高位回撤。


　　————黄金行情分析日线来看：震荡反弹;MACD死叉信号仍在，绿色动能柱略微缩窄。KDJ金叉随机指标走高，后市走势变数仍存一些变数，短线建议关注1430-1462区域突破情况,1430by5日均线支撑，而1462是近六年高点阻力所在。若上破1462附近阻力，则金价有望进一步涨向2013year5month3Daily high point1488附近阻力。而若下破1430附近支撑，则金价仍可能维持高位震荡走弱，进一步支撑在10Daily moving average1425Nearby and20Daily moving average1420Near.


　　4小时来看：震荡上涨;MACD金叉红色动能柱有所缩窄。KDJ金叉随机指标走平。指示金价短线将小幅回调，但整体呈现一个宽幅震荡。目前金价受到布林线上轨压制，K线高位也有局部吞没看空顶部信号，金价出现了回调。目前1430是重要支撑位处获得支撑，该位置既是整数关口，也是短线涨势的38.2%回撤位，也是美联储利率决议后鲍威尔讲话前的高点所在。周初黄金上方关注1462Resistance, pay attention below1430支撑，操作上建议低多为主，高空为辅；行情瞬息万变，更多行情分析与操作建议可联/system Wang Mingxin ，每日行情分析、解.套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中！


Suggestions for short-term operation of gold:1Suggestions1430Do not break long, stop loss1425, Objective1435-1440；2Suggestions1460Stop loss without breaking short1465, Objective1455-1450；3、关注工纵好“ 王铭鑫”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份！


　　————crude oil行情分析隔夜的美联储决议不及市场预期、欧佩克减产力度有所下滑和非欧佩克国家原油产量上升都是打压油价的关键因素，而且随着各国制造业持续萎缩，市场对国际原油需求预期也进一步下降。原油上周四冲高回落，跌破53.6一线支撑。原油EIA如预期大利多，但是原油只是冲高回落，之后受降息利空出尽是利多，美元大涨，而进一步的震荡回落。


Next weekWTIcrude oilfutures将上涨，铭鑫指出，原油原先是在大的收敛形态内运行，但是这一个月左右时间都没有触及到其收敛形态的上下轨，反而在这个大收敛形态内形成了一个小的收敛形态，而在上周终于是进行了方向性的选择，在触及到大收敛形态下轨后展开了上行。对于本周而言，王铭鑫认为收敛形态内的操作思路还是高抛低吸，现在下轨对应的点位大概是53.7~53.9附近，靠近下轨附近可以尝试做多。市场仍在消化关税对石油市场的影响，但鉴于我国今年迄今没有吸收多少USA的原油，铭鑫认为关税直接影响市场基本面的可能性很小。行情瞬息万变，更多行情分析与操作建议可联/system 王铭鑫微信（ wmx67188），每日行情分析、解.套策略、中长线布局指导尽在其中！


Suggestions for short-term crude oil operations:1Suggestions54.6Do not break long, stop loss54.1, Objective55.1-55.5；2Suggestions56.8Stop loss without breaking short57.3, Objective57.3-57.9；3、关注工纵好“ 王铭鑫”即可实时获得最新的操作建议、中线布局计划一份！


Different situations have different ways of unraveling, so what should be done specifically in case of a single quilt being unraveled?


Scenario 1: When tying up, according to the chart analysis, if the purchased price is at a high level, the loss must be immediately stopped.


Scenario 2: If the purchased price is in the middle range, you can temporarily wait and see based on the situation at that time, in order to unwind and leave the market or reduce losses when the position is high.


Scenario 3: If the purchased price is at a low level, there is no need to rush to stop the loss. After the purchased price stabilizes, one should dare to cover the position at a low level in important support positions, dilute costs, and rescue the high locked position together in the subsequent rebound market.


Scenario 4: If the price of the purchased item is on an upward trend, there is no need to stop the loss. Patiently holding it for a period of time will inevitably unwind, and there may even be a possibility of significant profits.


Scenario 5: If the purchased price is in a balanced and volatile trend, there is no need to immediately stop the loss. Be patient and wait for the price to enter a high level of a volatile cycle. Once the situation is resolved or the loss is small, you should decisively exit the market., Teaching people how to fish is not as good as teaching them how to fish. Here, not only are there calling for a spot, but there are also operational ideas and skills for making orders!


Scenario 6: If the price of the purchased item is in a downward trend, once it is confirmed that the downward trend has formed, the loss should be immediately stopped, and one must not be worried about gains or losses and have illusions. Any hesitation or hesitation may result in deep confinement.


　　投资是长久之计，不是一朝一夕，所以不可操之过急。就算你现在亏损了，那也没什么可怕的，只要选择正确，失去的都会再回来。对于经常被套单的投资朋友王铭鑫告诉你要切记以下5Taboos:1Heavy storage operation.2Without stop loss.3Reverse the trend operation.4Frequent order making.5Poor mentality and easy operation. The above is a summary of my years of experience. If investors have encountered similar problems in the past, please summarize, discover your own shortcomings, and make corrections. In the long run, you will always gain something - share with everyone!


　　寄语：如果你刚刚入市，来找我，笔者会教你边学习边操作；如果你已经身在其中并不理想，可以来找我、我帮助你，不会再让你一错再错；如果你已经在这个市场摸爬滚打却遍体鳞伤，不妨来找铭鑫将有信心帮你重拾信心。如果你仓位单子被套，我会根据你的进场点位进行合理的解被套。因为每个人被套的点位不一样，解的方法也会不一样，有的适合稳健者有的适合激进者。但是笔者在这里不可能全部给出完美的答复，铭鑫建议你带上你的单。只要找到王铭鑫，我定会用最合适的方法实实在在为你解决问题、辅佐你出局。


Full guidance time: early7：00In the early morning of the next day2：00全方位指导老师：王铭鑫 分析团队文/Wang Mingxin （微：wmx67188---official account ）