Shan Chenjin:6.21黄金连跌多单深套？日内行情走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:6.21gold连跌多单深套？日内行情走势分析


现货黄金周三（6month20日）温和走低，再创6个月新低，金价自上周五大跌后又转入此前的盘跌模式，窄幅波动。尽管本周市场出现一些风险规避行为，但由于担心全球贸易战，贵金属未录得上涨。日内公布的美国5Annualized total monthly housing sales543万户，跌至1月以来最低，并连续三个月同比回落，但成屋售价再创新高。中位数同比增长4.9%, to26.48万美元，连续第75个月同比上扬。

从周三市场表现看，各类资产均有止跌回暖的迹象，虽然美国和中国以贸易进口关税相互威胁，而本周形势已经升级，但许多人仍然认为，世界两大经济体将会找到妥协以避免全面的贸易战如果贸易战爆发，那么大宗商品交易量的减少似乎有助于避险买盘。事实上，目前黄金的价格行为像大宗商品，而不是避险资产。同时强势的美元也在与贵金属市场作对，由于黄金在大多数世界市场都以美元计价，任何美元升值都会使得黄金以非美元货币购买更为昂贵。不过美元近期上涨过度，也面临获利回吐的压力，若美元走弱，黄金将获得一定的支撑。


技术面上黄金日线图显示，黄金周二反弹失败跌破1280关口，今天凌晨已下破1270支撑，短线小幅反弹不足以改变看跌前景。如短线进一步反弹，初步阻力将位于1276，如突破将上探1284as well as1290等阻力，而这种反弹或提供更好的逢高做空机会。下行方面，初步支撑位于1265，如跌破将下看1260等潜在支撑水平。今日我们依旧保持反弹做空思路，但日内短线可以轻仓做多，相信关注笔者文章的朋友，会明白我对本周黄金的看法！


黄金今年整体波幅不大，上半年90美金左右波幅，还要加上周一的放量下跌。在这种大环境之下，我们也给大家反复提到，行情要么不动，要动也是窄幅整理。两周多的窄幅整理，上周五来了个黑天鹅，那么短线再度陷入窄幅修正。虽然波幅不大，但是节奏和方向相对还是比较清晰的，短线弱势整理，不是极弱空头。


综合看来，大趋势的下跌后，表现了明显的动力不足，有望迎来一波反弹。日内操作上保持区间内高空低多，上方关注1276-78One line of resistance, pay attention below1265-62Frontline support.


Golden Operation Strategy


1、1265Nearby, stop loss1261, Objective1272-75


2、1276Short selling, stop loss1280, Objective1270-68


Shan Chenjin - I have something to tell you


1Based on one's own actual situation,Not blindly investing - each investor's own situation is different, and investing should be done within one's capabilities. Dan Chenjin suggests that investors use some of their idle funds for investment and wealth management,It can not only enjoy the fun of investment, but also alleviate financial pressure and to some extent avoid risks.


2Investment needs to be summarized - don't be confused when making investments, know how to earn and how to lose, find the reasons, learn from methods, and learn from lessons; Otherwise, your ultimate result will definitely be being eliminated from this market;

3There is a clear approach to trading and a principle for stopping losses - there is no sustainable and stable trading approach, and the stopping loss method is not clear. These are all90%What investors with large losses have in common is how to ensure long-term profitability if you or your teacher do not have a complete trading system.


4There is no pie in the world, and there is a reason to learn - if your teacher only provides orders but does not teach you basic skillsKLine, trend, and trading theories need to be cautious. Even with guidance from teachers and the operation of investment still depends on oneself, without basic discernment, losses are even more numb and unresponsive.


5、你若安好，便是晴天——若你愿意跟随，单晨金必将倾力奉献，为你做好最佳投资计划。

多日以来，最为困惑的还是持续性，行情的延续能力不够强，日内金价破位，但晚间反抽空，就没有回落的空间，走是一波行情。这让我们想起了日线节奏，很可能只是换个区间震荡。一直以来，都在追求黄金突破后的单边，几乎是清一色的下跌抄底，但从这两年的波幅来看，今年虽然动荡，但黄金可能陷入震幅震荡年。市场，总是在跌的时候，吸引大家抄底，而在涨的时候，都在计划抄顶，过了一轮又一轮，就是没有一个合适的位置去进场。为什么？很简单的道理，不顺势。


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.