Australia GDP After data release, AUD/USD in 0.6570 Above attracted some buyers ... ...

2023-12-6 10:23| Publisher: 2233| see: 234| comment: 0

abstract: Early trading session on Wednesday in Asia, AUD/The US dollar exchange rate has climbed to 0.6575. With the release of Australia's economic growth data, the currency pair has slightly risen. However, the rebound in the US dollar and risk aversion may limit the Australian dollar/The further rise of the US dollar. Technical aspect: AUD/The US dollar fell for the second consecutive day, breaking through0.6600 ...
Early trading session on Wednesday in Asia, AUD/The US dollar exchange rate has climbed to 0.6575。随着澳大利亚经济增长数据的公布,该货币对小幅走高。然而,美元反弹和避险情绪可能会限制澳元/美元的进一步上涨。

Technical aspect:

AUD/The US dollar fell for the second consecutive day, breaking through0.6600,也跌破200Daily Simple Moving Average(SMA)。技术指标仍显示短期内进一步下跌的可能性。下一个强劲支撑位出现在 0.6520 and 0.6530 附近,形成先前支撑/阻力位和 20 日移动平均线的汇合区域。大幅跌破该水平可能表明日线图进一步恶化。日收盘价高于 0.6600 可能表明看涨情绪复苏。

亚洲时段之前,该货币对仍处于看跌短期通道内,上限见于0.6580Near.突破该水平将缓解看跌压力。然而,低于该区域,似乎可能会进一步下跌。4小时图显示相对强弱指数(RSI)处于超卖区域,但没有提供明显的反弹迹象。目前,阻力最小的路径仍然是下行,任何修正都可能面临 0.6600 附近的强大障碍。

Support position:0.6545 0.6530 0.6510 

Resistance level:0.6585 0.6610 0.6640


Fundamentals:

AUD/The US dollar fell for the second consecutive day, breaking through0.6600。此次下跌是受到澳大利亚储备银行(RBA)会议后美元走强和澳元走弱的影响。美国数据好坏参半,但尽管美国收益率较低,但并未对美元产生重大影响。

正如预期,澳洲联储将关键利率维持在 4.35% unchanged.央行在声明中保持谨慎立场,并重申其对数据的依赖。在洛威州长发表评论称自 11 月会议以来的数据“基本符合预期”后,市场出现了轻微的鸽派倾向。该决定后澳元失去动力。澳大利亚预计将于周三公布第三季度经济增长放缓数据,年率预计将从 2.1% lower 1.8%。市场预计澳大利亚央行不会加息,目前正在考虑 2024 年下半年可能降息。

澳洲联储会议后,由于美国公布的好坏参半的数据和市场情绪恶化,澳元/美元继续下跌。职位空缺数据低于预期,而 11 month ISM Service industry PMI Ascend to 52.7Exceeding expectations 52。数据公布后,美国国债收益率下跌,但美元依然坚挺。周三,美国将公布更多就业数据,包括 ADP 报告,周四将公布每周失业救济人数,周五将公布非农就业数据 (NFP)。

Greenwich Mean Time
event
Volume.
Actual
Consensus
Previous
12 month 5 Day, Tuesday
24hour
12 month 6 Sunday, Wednesday
00:30
2.1%
1.8%
2.1%
00:30
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
07:00
0.0%
0.2%
07:00
-4.3%
07:00
09:30
46.3
45.6
10:00
2.7%
10:00
0.2%
-0.3%
10:00
 euro 

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