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郭惟义;黄金后市依旧看好,原油还需空。

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Some investors can't help but feel that once they enter the market, prices will move in a direction that is beneficial to them, preferably by making significant movements to achieve their desire to become wealthy overnight. But the probability of this happening is very low. In most cases, after entering the market, the market price always seems to be against oneself, but tends to move in the opposite direction. This is precisely the time to test investors' endurance. It is necessary to strictly follow the original operating plan and not act like a monkey who has lost a watermelon after getting sesame seeds. If you make a small profit, it will often be more than worth the loss.
  昨天周一数据面比较清淡,但不妨碍市场产生巨大的波动,因为朝鲜并没有在周末试射导弹,飓风艾尔玛的破坏力不及预期,为此全球避险情绪迅速降温,这给美元多头带来了利好,美元指数是更是跳空高开,刷新9month8号以来的高点,而美元上涨,受到伤害的却是以美元报价的商品,因为避险情绪的消退,周一gold“闪崩”开盘,日内并继续的下跌,并且跌破1330关口,收盘于1327一线,而周二开盘反弹到1329之后,迅速下跌至1324,目前处于慢跌的走势,午后价格在1329附近可以考虑空一次。
  技术面分析;从小时级别来看,布林带继续向下开口运行,亚盘跌破下方1326的支撑,金价运行于5、10日均线下方,下方支撑打破,趋势转变为空头,但一早上的就开始下跌,要去今天是单边的下跌行情,要么就是诱空后在反弹修正,下探之后走反弹修正,欧美盘再继续走低,所以接下来重点关注下方1325的位置,上方关注1329-1330的压制。从4小时来看,在昨日的欧盘之后,一直连阴下跌,向下压制压制布林带,所以日内的反弹所是正常的短线修正,而不要看成反转走势,上行趋势线的打破,下方支撑破位,趋势看空为主。日线级别中,昨天跳空低开之后以上引线的阴柱收尾,今天早间开盘又运行在10日均线下方,上方5日均线向下拐角压制,再配合高位的上下引线的阴柱,近段时间黄金开始了反转走势,所以日内黄金的主要思路就是看空,下方看1318附近,非农试探的低点。今天上午联合国安理会全票通过了新的对朝制裁决议,决议禁止朝鲜纺织品出口,及液化天然气、凝析油、车用精炼汽油、crude oil进口。文杨分析如果最新的制裁措施再次“惹怒”朝鲜,半岛局势恐将进一步恶化。所以在朝鲜事件未结束之前,我们还是要注意做单的仓位和止损。
Crude oil analysis:
  
  这个日线的走势倒是有点意思,按照三角震荡的形态来说,下跌到47并没有完全到位,实际上应该下跌接近46,现在日线转阳让价格无所适从,一方面上周五刚刚大跌,并且昨天续跌了一波,另外昨天行情属于下探回升,现在价格就稳定在48一带,需要一定时间震荡来重新酝酿,认为重新在48一线做空是不合适的,因为日线转阳,不能确定下探回升中的回升是否结束,那么今天操作上将区间放大到47-49区间高空低多操作,反弹接近49.2做空,下跌接近47做多,而48一带当前位置是行情震荡的中值;操作上建议47-49.2区间高空低多操作!
  风往哪个方向吹,草就会向哪个方向倒,不少的人都以为自己是风,可是偶尔发现无能为力后的瞬间像极了草。投资当中永远不要让微小的苦恼,影响了看待未来的笑容。就算我是阳光,也有照不到的地方,博弈不是盲目的押注,需要的是情商、智商结合后的出击。
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