Crossing the Sea 2017year8month21day (Gold)

Crossing the Sea

2017

year

8

month

21

day

Focus this week:
8month21day(Monday)
U.S.A7Monthly National Activity Index

8month22day(Tuesday)
U.S.A6monthFHFA房屋价格

8month23day(Wednesday)
U.S.A8monthMarkit PMIinitial value
U.S.A7Monthly sales of new houses

8month24day(Thursday)
Number of weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States
U.S.A7Monthly Housing Sales
U.S.A8月堪萨斯联储制造业指数

8month25day(Friday)
U.S.A7Monthly rate of durable goods orders


Today's important economic data:
07：00 Japan8Monthly Reuters Short term Manufacturing Prosperity Index‧Front value positive26
16：30 britain7Monthly net borrowing from public sector(PSNB)‧Previous value62.78Billion
16：30 britain7Shortfall in monthly public sector revenue and expenditure(PSNCR)‧Previous value182.83A deficit of one billion yuan
20：30 U.S.A7Monthly National Activity Index‧Front value positive0.13
20：30 Canada6Monthly wholesale trade rate‧Previous value+0.9%



8month18day
LondongoldMorning order price:1295.25
London gold afternoon fixing price:1295.80



XAU London Gold - 金价上冲千三遇阻，料整固后再走高

上周初在利好经济数据提振下，美元指数一度走强，最高触及94.14；不过美联储公布会议纪要后，美指在周三回挫。此外，投资者愈发怀疑美国总统特朗普是否有能力兑现竞选时所承诺的经济政策，亦令美元走势承压。外界对美国总统特朗普推进其减税和增加基建支出等经济计划的能力愈发担忧。特朗普周三宣布解散两个颇受注目的商业顾问委员会，日前有几位企业执行长相继退出委员会，对特朗普就周末弗吉尼亚州暴力事件发表的谈话表示抗议。特朗普对于弗吉尼亚州夏洛茨维尔抗议事件中白人优越主义者提出辩护，此举令人担心特朗普一些重要的决策官员及助手可能亦会离他而去。传言甚嚣尘上的是白宫国家经济委员会主任柯恩将辞职。白宫发出一份声明指出，柯恩仍将留任，但这只让市场短暂恢复平静，之后美元卖压又涌现。

伦敦黄金上周五创今年新高，投资者因担心美国政治不确定性，以及西班牙发生一起造成至少13人死亡的恐袭事件而买进避险资产。西班牙巴塞罗那最知名的兰布拉大道(LasRamblas)周四发生一辆厢式货车冲撞大批游客的攻击事件，造成至少13人死亡。伊斯兰国宣称对袭击负责。此外，市场对美国总统特朗普能否推行经济方案的疑虑加深，投资人避开风险资产。图表走势所见，始于7month10Daily low1204.45美元的此轮升势，于8month11The day is high and the day is high1291.86美元，虽然上周早段回落，一度低见至1267水平；但周中又重新上探，在作出这起技术后抽之后，金价有更强的上升动能，至周五一度冲上1300美元上方的年内高位，但尾盘呈现回吐，收报于1284Level. this year6month6日高位见于1296，再上一个高位见于4month17Of1295.42，故此，双底颈线位置1296这水平将颇为关键，若本周可企稳于颈线之上，金价可望再而冲高。预计向上延伸阻力可至1304and1321水平，进一步则会参考去年11Monthly high1337.40美元。下方支持料为1283and1278To the next level1267. Additionally,50The current position of the balance moving average1252亦是一重要依据。

London Gold8month21 – 25Daily predicted wave amplitude:
Resistance level:1302 – 1319 – 1335 – 1353
Support bit:1283 – 1266 – 1249 – 1217

London Gold8month21day
Predicting early wave amplitude:1275 – 1289
Resistance level:1293 – 1306 – 1315
Support bit:1269 – 1261 – 1252

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
7month24Day - 809.62ton
7month25Day - 800.45ton
7month26Day - 795.42ton
7month27Day - 791.88ton
7month28Day - 791.88ton
7month31Day - 791.88ton
8month1Day - 791.88ton
8month2Day - 791.88ton
8month3Day - 791.88ton
8month4Day - 787.14ton
8month7Day - 786.87ton
8month8Day - 786.87ton
8month9Day - 786.87ton
8month10Day - 786.87ton
8month11Day - 786.87ton
8month14Day - 791.01ton
8month15Day - 791.01ton
8month16Day - 795.44ton
8month17Day - 795.44ton
8month18Day - 799.29ton

8Monthly goldfuturesDue date:8month29day
12Monthly goldoptionDue date:11month27day

Global Official Gold Reserve:
(Data source: World Gold Council(WGC), updated on2017year7month7day)

Global:33465.1 (+39.5ton)
U.S.A(1)：8133.5ton
Germany(2)：3374.1ton (-3.2ton)
IMF(3)：2814.0ton
Italy(4)：2451.8ton
France(5)：2435.9ton
China(6)：1842.6ton
Russia(7)：1715.8ton (+28.5ton)
Switzerland(8)：1040.0ton
Japan(9)：765.2ton
Netherlands(10)：612.5ton

European Central Bank(12)：504.8ton
britain(17)：310.3ton
Hong Kong(93)：2.1ton



XAG London Silver - 银价再访上阻

伦敦白银方面，在连续三日17.25水平附近遇阻后，经过上周初之调整，至上周五银价一度闯过此区；倘若后市终可稳企此区上方，料银价可进一步伸延近月的升势，较大阻力将看至17.60and17.90美元。下方支持预估在上升趋向线位置16.65美元，较大支持为16.32and16.04USD.

London Silver8month21 – 25Daily predicted wave amplitude:
Resistance level:17.40 – 17.80 – 18.60 – 19.20
Support bit:16.50 – 16.10 – 15.80 – 15.30

London Silver8month21day
Predicting early wave amplitude:16.50 – 17.50
Resistance level:17.90 – 18.30
Support bit:16.10 – 15.70

iShares Silver TrustSilver holdings:
8month1Day - 10629.07ton
8month2Day - 10592.33ton
8month3Day - 10592.33ton
8month4Day - 10562.93ton
8month7Day - 10562.93ton
8month8Day - 10530.59ton
8month9Day - 10530.59ton
8month10Day - 10445.33ton
8month11Day - 10445.33ton
8month14Day - 10445.33ton
8month15Day - 10445.33ton
8month16Day - 10445.33ton
8month17Day - 10401.24ton
8month18Day - 10401.24ton



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Emperor Financial Group Zongheng Huihai Analysis Department
(The above column content is the author's personal professional opinions and is sincerely for readers' reference; I would like to remind readers that financial market volatility is unpredictable and they must be cautious of risks)