NFX 品汇国际：美国初请利好，汇价未能继续走高

【行情回顾】
　  gold市场的投资者当前最关心的当然是金市前景，一些黄金市场的战略家认为，美元的走势对金价至关重要。随着美元指数继续下滑，黄金价格将会进一步受到提振。特别是如果美元跌破92The checkpoint means that gold prices are likely to soar significantly and break through1300USD.
   由于市场认为美国总统特朗普的经济议程可能会出现问题，美元指数年内一直承压，已经下跌了将近9%。美元大跌给出市场的信号就是，美联储进一步升息的可能性已经下降。
    美联储周三下午宣布，美联储下调联邦基金目标利率不变，资产负债表的下调将“相对较早”开始，虽然美联储也承认，当前通胀较低，可能放缓未来升息步伐。“美元指数有望跌至92关口，这个位置对于美元指数非常重要。美元指数的下跌也会对金价和其它商品带来影响。”
  “我们真的可以看到金价涨至1300美元的水平，我们也可以看到银价升至18美元，我们还可以看到油价重新夺回50美元，何况当前油价已经开始有了一些基本面向好的迹象。这一切都是受到美元走软的支撑。”
   随着美元指数的下跌，黄金和其他美元计价资产的价格通常会上涨。当然，货币和商品也可以一起上涨。　

【基本面利好因素】
　　
1.US Department of Labor Thursday（7month27Announce US to7month22The number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week is24.410000 people, the former value is23.3Ten thousand people; Expected to be24.1万人。尽管近期就业人数保持持续增长的势头，但本周初请失业金申请人数仍录得增长。在近几个月内初请失业金总体维持在近40The low level around the year indicates that employers are continuing to increase the number of job vacancies. The sustained low unemployment rate indicates that the job market is tightening or even approaching the level of full employment predicted by economists.

2.Federal ReserveFOMCWednesday（7month256The decision to maintain the interest rate unchanged and the discount rate to be maintained1.75%Unchanged; The committee unanimously approved the interest rate decision.

【基本面利空因素】
　
1.US Department of Commerce Thursday（7month27Japan announces the United States6The monthly growth rate of durable goods orders6.5%; Far higher than previous values-0.8%And expectations3%。 U.S.A6Monthly durable goods orders with a record monthly rate2014year7The highest value since the beginning of the month. Core capital durable goods orders have declined, but transportation durable goods orders still maintain an upward trend, indicating that the US economic growth rate in the second quarter is still supported.

2.Wednesday（7month26The United States announced in Japan6The total monthly sales of new houses are61Ten thousand households, the same as before, slightly lower than expected.

3.Tuesday（7month25The United States announced in Japan7The monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index is14, far higher than previous values and expectations; United States7The monthly consumer confidence index of the Conference Board is121.1, also higher than previous values and expectations.   

欧洲时段，投资者重点关注欧元区经济景气指数、消费者信心指数以及德国7OfCPI数据，这一系列的欧元区数据将会给欧元短线走势带来指引。

纽约时段，市场迎来美国一系列重磅数据的考验，投资者需要密切关注美国的二季度GDP初值数据以及核心PCE物价指数数据，这两项数据都是美联储施政关注的重要指标，两项数据的表现或将给美元中期走势带来指引。另外，交易crude oil的投资者不要忽视贝克休斯钻井平台数据对油价中期走势的指引。而时段内，美联储票委卡什卡里也将发表公开言论，他的讲话基调对市场也会带来一些影响。
Risk Reminder
Today's Key Focus on Financial Data and Events2017year7month28day Friday

13:30 France Q2GDPAnnual rate initial value
14:00 britain7monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
14:45 France7monthCPIMonthly rate
15:00 Switzerland7monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
17:00 eurozone7Monthly economic prosperity index7Monthly Industrial Prosperity Index7Final value of monthly consumer confidence index
20:00 Germany7monthCPIInitial monthly rate
20:30 Canada5monthGDPMonthly rate
20:30 US Q2 ActualGDPYearly quarterly rate initial value, US Q2 actualGDPInitial value of annualized quarterly rate
22:00 U.S.A7Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month
The next day01:00 From the United States to7month28Total number of oil drilling in the current week
The next day01:20 Federal Reserve2017yearFOMCVoting committee Kashkali participates in a Q&A session of an event