Translated by Panshijia:7.27In the evening, the initial request is coming. With the help of the initial request, can the price of gold continue to rise

Summary:from16Wanzhi45Wan, then from45To suffer a great loss10Wan finally realized that the key to successful trading was not to fight against the market and defeat it, but to compete with oneself alone.


Translated by Panshi Family.Market strategy one-on-one online guidance (official WeChat account):OL0080


Today's Financial News


evening20:30The United States will announce to7month22Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week and6Monthly rate of durable goods orders, expected number of initial claims for unemployment benefits recorded24.110000 people, the former value is23.3Ten thousand people, this data has been continuous124Zhou is in30Below the 10000 person checkpoint, continuously creating1970The longest since the beginning of the year. If the published value is higher than expected, it will continue to be bearish on the US dollar, adding another dose of salt to the wounds of the already battered US dollar.


Early this morning, the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike did not exceed market expectations and continued to be maintained1.25%The interest rate remains unchanged. Meanwhile, from the statement, it can be seen that the attitude of the Federal Reserve in raising interest rates in the subsequent period of this year is not very firm, and it has been basically determined that there is no hope of a rate hike in September,12The month is yet to be verified by the economic data from the United States over the past few months. In addition, Yellen's proposal to reduce the balance sheet, the signal released by the Federal Reserve, and the schedule of this plan are expected to be advanced, and the pace may also accelerate. So, in the next few trading days, whether it's for the US index or for thegoldIn general, it will be a complex process of seeking short-term direction through game theory. According to the recent author's viewpoint, I still tend to be optimistic about gold continuing to rise and stabilize after adjustment1260Will further impact1270/80as well as1295Double top position in the area!


Federal Reserve7monthFOMCThe meeting was held as scheduled without any action However, it is clear that the signal of the upcoming scaling up is being released, and the description of the scaling up time has changed from "this year" to "relatively fast"; In addition, the Federal Reserve's description of inflation has been removed The phrase "recent decline" suggests "overall"12The inflation rate indicators for the past month have all been declining, and the "generally" lower core inflation rate has been removed2%The expression. After the resolution was announced, the volatility in the financial market intensified, with the US dollar hitting a daily low and gold breaking through1260The checkpoint has hit a six week high.


Market Review


On Wednesday, the overall trend of gold spot prices remained at a bottom and rebounded, and the entire Asian market opened from the beginning1250Nearby, there has been a weak decline, hitting1243After key support from the US dollar, it stopped falling and rebounded, while the European market rebounded slightly after being supported by the low point, maintaining overall stability1245-1248The range fluctuated within a narrow range, with gold in the US market fluctuating upwards and waiting for a decision on interest rates. Subsequently, in the dovish statement of the Federal Reserve, gold prices rose rapidly, and the daily chart closed higher from negative to positive. Jin Ri's morning gold opened on1260On the front line, after the opening, the momentum of yesterday's end of the trading session continued to maintain an upward trend, reaching its highest point1265On the front line, it once again hit yesterday's high point, and then gold bulls showed some weakness and turned to a decline. The European market focused on the top and bottom conversion position1258Nearby, if it doesn't break through this level, continue to be bullish. Shijia suggests going long directly before the US market, as if it breaks through, the gold price will face another correction and correction.


Analysis of Gold Technology


From a daily perspective, the gold price on the daily chart rose sharply and broke through multiple tops1257-8Suppressing the frontline watershed and standing firmly above it, driving short-term growth5Rihe10The daily moving average gold cross continues to rise, with the daily line moving upwards along the upper track. The short-term moving average shows a bullish pattern, combined with the agile indicator of overbought area gold cross operation,MACDThe gold cross at the low level of the indicator has risen, accompanied by the continuous volume increase of the red energy bar, and the future price of gold is undoubtedly bullish. On the four hour chart, after breaking through the suppression of the short-term moving average, the gold price is now running near the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. As the opening of the Bollinger Bands gradually expands, the space above also gradually begins to open up. The short-term moving average shows a bullish arrangement, with a clear bullish trend,5Daily moving average at1259The primary support for gold prices is formed nearby, and the Bollinger Belt is on track1264Nearby suppression of gold prices, flexible indicatorsSTOThe internal dead fork in the overbought area tends to run in a sticky manner,MACDThe index's fast and slow line has risen at a high level with a golden cross, and the red energy bar has strengthened. The short-term upward trend has been strengthened. Based on comprehensive analysis, Shijia believes that the bullish trend in the market has returned after yesterday's bullish rally, and is expected to further strengthen after short-term stabilization. The European market trend is expected to recover from volatility, while the US market will move out of the broad band. Pay attention to evening initial request data and durable goods data, and wait for data to be released for stable short positions. Follow the trend and operate accordingly.


Gold trading strategy:retracement 1259-1261Long, stop loss4In terms of target, in US dollars1267-1268。


crude oilTechnical analysis


Technically speaking, last nighteiaThe data is bullish, and after the data was released, oil prices staged a roller coaster trend. The daily line ultimately fell below the longer shadow of the positive column, indicating strong support below. Currently, oil prices are operating at high levels, and the daily Bollinger Bands moving average shows a bullish pattern, with indicatorsmacdGolden Fork Volume,stoThe hook is fixed upwards, and the daily trend remains bullish.4From an hourly perspective, the Bollinger Bands have formed a further opening trend and are currently supported by the moving averageMA5andMA10Adhesive position48.5Nearby,4Hourly indicatormacdGolden cross oscillation, agility indexstoWandering around supermarkets,4Hours are also bullish and remain unchanged, but in the evening, Sega suggests a pullback and mainly a lower trend.


Crude oil trading strategy:Fallback48.2-48.4Long, stop loss48, Objective49.3, take a break to see50Da Guan.


writing//Translated by Panshi Family.(Official WeChat):OL0080