Suye Lunjin:7.27(Late Review) Analysis and Operational Suggestions on the Evening Market of Gold and Crude Oil

Tonight8:30There are two important data releases, one is from the United States6Monthly rate of durable goods orders, another is in the United States7month22Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week. As the second night of the Federal Reserve's pigeon raising, the market is still immersed in the sound of pigeons, and the two data are undoubtedly testsgoldThe bull endurance and market expectations for interest rate hikes are an excellent opportunity. According to previous data, the overall US durable goods order data in the past two months has shown a downward trend, and5The monthly data is far below expectations, with only-1.1%(Expected value-0.6%)Su Ye expects that the likelihood of a strong performance in this durable goods order is low. In addition, the weekly initial jobless claims data is a routine economic data released every week, and the market generally believes that US employment is stable. If both of these data show weakness, it will amplify the dovish influence of the Federal Reserve. The monthly rate of durable goods and the poor performance of initial claims will become favorable pedals for gold to reach new highs, with a short-term jump to1270The probability is high.

　　

Technical analysis of gold: Yesterday, gold closed with a strong bullish candlestick stimulated by fundamentals, and this bullish candlestick engulfed Monday and Tuesday, forming a twilight star pattern. The power of multiple parties led the bears significantly, and in yesterday's long short game, multiple parties ultimately won. The winner is the king, and the loser is the enemy. Since multiple parties have won now, our approach is to follow the trend of the bulls. On the daily line, as long as the market does not break1254The front line is still running higher, and if it falls below, there is a risk of a pullback in the market.4On the hourly chart, after yesterday's interest rate resolution was announced,4A large bullish line was drawn on the hourly chart, which directly engulfed the recent high point1258The pullback since then has stabilized1258Above, the market subsequently opened up an upward trend, reaching a peak of1264frontline,4The short-term trend of hours is currently continuing from a low point1204The upward trend of the market, as long as the market correction does not break through1254The market will continue to operate in long positions, with strong support from long positions1260reach128On the first line, as long as this range is not broken, the market will rise strongly.1On the hourly chart, since yesterday's bullish candlestick rose, the market rose in the Asian session this morning and then fell before the start of the European session, stepping back on the small platform at the high level of the hourly level1259—1261This small platform is also an important support position for the strength and weakness of the hourly level rise. If it falls below, the short-term market may be difficult to quickly rise, and the unbroken market is expected to continue to accelerate upward.
　　
Overall, gold prices have broken through1260Resistance band, and the early morning sharp rise breakthrough is very firm. As long as there is no black Friday in the last two days of the week, as the weekly trend continues to close, then1205The rebound is still ongoing, and the long rebound time is constantly lengthening. It is uncertain where it will eventually rise. Currently, we can only follow the upward trend of the daily and hourly lines and continue to look long, breaking through1260It is already difficult and unnecessary to find high-altitude positions in the future. If you want to fall, just wait for the peak signal to come out before doing it, or take profits directly in the next two days. Just now, with a sharp rise in the early morning, the bulls are still strong, and there is no problem of a big drop. But tomorrow, I will be more cautious. Currently, I maintain an optimistic and cautious attitude towards the bulls, and follow the daily correction to go long. This wave of rise is usually followed by a correction of volatility, So today, the Asian market cannot rise, and the European and American markets are expected to be mainly volatile, with long positions being the key.
　　
Golden Evening Suggestions:
　　
　　1Stable withdrawal1256—1257Going long on the front line, relying on1253To further monitor the upward trend of the market for defense.
　　
　　2Radicals hit a low point of early morning correction1259/60Short term layout with multiple orders, targeting1266-1270frontline,
　　
　　3First exploration above1270Short nearby, stop loss1273Look at the target below1263-1260。
　　
　　crude oilOn the one hand, the trend of crude oil this week has been continuously positive, with oil prices steadily rising. Since the end of the St. Petersburg meeting in Russia on Monday this week, crude oil has skyrocketed like a stimulant. United StatesWTI9Monthly crude oilfuturesElectronic disk prices Wednesday(7month26day)Closing up0.16USD, increase0.33%Report48.71dollar/bucket.Oil prices rose to nearly eight week highs on Wednesday, while Brent crude oil rose50dollar/Above barrels, due to the much larger than expected decrease in US crude oil inventories last week, there is hope that the global oversupply situation will ease. Last week, US crude oil inventories decreased720Ten thousand barrels, far exceeding the market's estimated decrease260Ten thousand barrels. This is the fourth consecutive decline in US crude oil inventories, boosting expectations that the long-standing oversupply situation is approaching equilibrium. Although the duration of this trend is still a question, it increases the market's hope for a long-term rebalancing of the oil market. The improvement in fundamentals has brought upward momentum to oil prices.

　　

Analysis of crude oil technology: Currently, on the daily chart, crude oilKTriple consecutive bullish streak, with strong oil prices breaking the upper limit48.4The nearby pressure level, spatiotemporal transition, has now become a support level, and oil prices are currently running in a sticky middle track48.7Near, below5Wearing on a Japanese golden cross10Daily moving averages, and their respective47.62and47.18There is a support position nearby, and the middle rail extends to46.4Nearby, the suppression position above can be viewed towards50The US dollar has reached a high level; On the four hour chart, after a terrifying ten consecutive bullish days, oil prices began to fluctuate and accumulate momentum, and thenEIAOnce again erupted, the Bollinger Bands were extremely open, and the upper tracks extended to49.4Near resistance level, looking towards short-term support level5Daily moving average at48.55Location,10The daily moving average has extended to48.4Position, further down30The daily moving average and the middle track47.1The positions intersect at one point and have now extended to47.2and47.4Nearby,macdThe golden cross of the fast and slow lines is moving upwards, and the upward movement energy column is continuously increasing in volume.
　　
Overall: Yesterday, the US crude oil market was affected by the oversaturated bullish line of the day before yesterday, and the market opened low in the early trading session48.472The market experienced a process of profit taking and technical retracement after the position of the position, and the market first fell, giving a conclusion47.89The market started a strong upward trend after reaching its position, reaching its highest point during the trading session48.854The market began to consolidate after the position was reached, and the daily closing line was finally reached48.725After reaching its position, the daily chart ended with a very long hammer shaped shadow, and after this pattern ended, the retracement ended, and today's market continued to be strong.
　　
Suggestions for crude oil in the evening:
　　
　　1.Radical suggestions fall back to48.4reach48.6Multiple nearby orders entering, target direction49.3Break the position to see50Great Pass;
　　
　　2.Steady suggestions fall back to48.1Multiple orders entering nearby, with the same target as before, stop loss47.6Near.
　　Wen/Su Ye's Discussion on Gold reform lxr1489