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加元上周跌3.8%,周五低见至1.0696, for2007year8month17日来最低位。数据显示加拿大7月就业人口大减,为1991年经济衰退来最大降幅。加拿大公布7Monthly employment decrease5.52万人,远低于市场原本预估的增加5,000人;此外,商品价格疲弱和美元走强,亦令加元整周处于承压。futures市场走势显示,目前市场预计加拿大央行将在年底前将有两次降息,各减四分一厘至2.50%。
技术走势而言,由于自3月以来加元亦在1.03区间边缘止住跌幅,但今次而明显超越此区间;而平均线利淡之顺序排列,技术上可望加元维持走弱。预计目前较近支持先为1.07关口,较大支撑预计为07year8month16Daily low1.0865,倘若再而失守此区,估计加元将可进一步下试至1.10关口。另一方面,较近阻力预计为1.05关口,同时亦为5天平均线位置,未能回破此区加元仍陷于走弱,至于1.03Gateway and10Balance moving average1.0375则为下一级较重要阻力。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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