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瑞郎方面,上周初自1.0486开市持续走弱,至周五明显扩大跌幅至最低1.0836Report collection1.0822。油价和商品价格大幅下滑提振美元走高。波浪理论分析,瑞郎仍运行大型第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves4Stretching within the waves(c)浪。瑞郎在7month15Daily high1.0137完成大型的第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves4Stretching within the waves(b)浪,由1.0137开始至现在为第4Stretching within the waves(c)浪。由于(c)浪特色为跌得急,故瑞郎下跌速度将加快,并有机会下跌至1.15Horizontal.
图表走势所见,由于瑞郎上周已见明显脱离位于1.04附近之趋向线支撑,以至1.0520/1.0540区域之关键支持亦见失守,型态上目前瑞郎走势呈双底,颈线位置在1.0622,610点延伸双底幅度则为1.1230水平,可为中期之下试目标;周初见重要支撑为250Balance moving average1.0870水平,此区亦无法守稳,仍见瑞郎可直捣1.10关口。反之,较近阻力则预计在1.07and1.060Horizontal, with greater resistance being5Days and10Balance moving average1.0610and1.0530水平,未有回破此区,瑞郎短线走势仍处于疲弱。
(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)