New Zealand dollars : 技术指标呈严重超卖 △△(8month7day)

Focus:
•就业数据整体不俗
•阻力参考0.7240•0.7310•0.7480
•支撑参考0.7170•0.7100•0.7000**
Suggested strategy:
0.7170买入纽元•0.7090Stop loss•0.7280Closing target

纽西兰统计局周四公布第二季经季节调整后失业率为3.9%，触及两年高点；就业人数增加1.2%，参与率为68.6%。原先市场预估第二季失业率为3.8%，就业人口增加0.1%，就业参与率为67.7%。

美元持稳及商品疲势持续，以至纽西兰利率下调之预期，拖累纽元持续扩大近月跌幅，周三最低触及0.7160水平。然而，今早就业数据整体仍见利好纽元，辅助纽元稍为脱离低位回升至0.72关口附近。图表所见，由于纽元仍见受压于5Days and10天平均线，故依据纽元仍维持偏软状况；不过，RSIandSTC似乎已呈现严重超卖，正酝酿回升之潜能。目前5Days and10天平均线分别位于0.7240and0.7310水平，须回破此区方可扭转近四周之颓势。预计较大阻力为25Balance moving average0.7480水平。下方有意义支撑可参考50Bottom of the weekly calendar and channel0.7170，再而下一级支撑可看至0.71Gateway and0.70Gateway.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)