AUD : 基本及技术面双双打压澳元 ▼▼(7month30day)

View All · Published on 2008-7-30 13:28:48

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Focus:
•跌破趋向线
•test0.95and100MA0.9450
•10MA交叠25MA酝酿利淡交叉
•阻力参考0.9600•0.9625
•支撑参考0.9450•0.9405•0.9300
美元周二走高，令澳元相应重挫至0.9496，再一次轻破0.95关口；澳元上一次破0.95yes7month9日低位见至0.7474，但此后已见持续上涨至7month15日高位见至0.9849。目前澳元走势已先为跌破自3month30Daily low0.8952延伸至今之上升趋向线，剩下将测试应为确实滑落0.95关口下方。另外，100Balance moving average0.9450亦可视为一重要支撑，分别于6month12日及去年3month30日澳元低位亦曾测试100天线但未有穿破，故今次破位将见带来新一轮下挫走势。若以自三月起始升势计算gold比率，38.2%by0.9510，50%and61.8%回吐则可分别看至0.9405and0.9300水平。阻力则会先以5Balance moving average0.9550为参考，紧接著将关注0.96关口，再上一级重要阻力位则见于10Days and25天平均线交叠位置0.9625水平；在此亦见中期利淡讯号正酝酿，提升了持续下滑之机率。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)