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Swiss franc : (7month28day)

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瑞郎方面,由于股市回稳,市场风险偏好回升,以及美元趋稳,亦令瑞郎上周持续偏软发展,最低触及1.0407。以波浪理论分析,瑞郎有机会刚开始运行大型第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves4Stretching within the waves(c)浪。瑞郎在3month17Daily high0.9644完成大型的第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves3伸延浪,由0.9644开始至现在为大型的第(V)Within the waves(3)Within the waves4Extend the waves. from0.9644to5month8Daily low1.0626为第4Stretching within the waves(a)Waves,1.0626to7month15Daily high1.0137为第4Stretching within the waves(b)Waves, and1.0137至现在为第4Stretching within the waves(c)浪,预料此第4Stretching within the waves(c)浪将下跌至1.10-1.15水平,而本周瑞郎将进一步下跌至1.0550Horizontal.

图表所见,先见近两个月构成之下行通道尚为保持完整,顶部处于1.0440水平,破位将视为瑞郎弱势展开的一个警报讯号;其后则看1.0500/1.0540区域为关键支持,近月走势亦见瑞郎低位在此见支撑,若然今次亦未能守稳,将可望促成一轮跌势。型态上目前瑞郎走势呈双底,颈线位置1.0320已破,后市应见较大回吐压力,下看进一步关键支撑将为通道底部1.0460Horizontal;320点延伸双底幅度则为1.0640Horizontal;1.06Horizontal5月份低位亦应见一定支撑力道。较近阻力则预计在50antenna1.0310and25Balance moving average1.0255水平,下一级阻力预计为1.01and1.00Gateway.

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)
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