euro : 欧元力争1.60版图 △△(7month17day)

Focus:
•图型呈头肩底
•欧元从纪录高点回调，受油价续挫打压
•联储会议记录和通膨数据令市场重提美国升息
•Wells Fargo业绩缓和金融市场忧虑
•阻力参考1.6100•1.6270
•支撑参考1.5890•1.5800•1.5770

欧盟统计局周三公布欧元区6Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)The final value is an increase compared to the same period last year4.0%，初值和预估均为上升4.0%, up from the previous month0.4%，符合预估。纵使6月通膨年率触及4.0%的纪录高位，但对欧元走势影响不大。
欧元周三进一步脱离上日所及的纪录高点，因油价下滑和美国第五大银行Wells Fargo业绩意外强劲，缓和了对美国经济和金融业的忧虑。美股亦大涨，在美国联邦储备理事会(FED)publish6月会议记录显示联储官员相信通膨压力意味著下一利率调整可能为升息后，美元获得进一步提振。图型走势所见，欧元兑美元短期技术支撑在1.58水平，此为6Monthly low1.5301延伸至今之上升趋势线位置，另外若以gold比率计算38.2%回吐则可至1.5755，50%Then it will arrive1.5670水平。估计上方则要企稳1.60水平才见平步青云，以头肩底型态推测，下一级目标可看至1.61or50周保历加通道顶部1.6270水平。较近阻力则预估在1.5950Horizontal.

Related news:
The German Federal Bureau of Statistics announced on Wednesday that Germany6Monthly consumer price index(CPI)终值较上月上升0.3%Growth compared to the same period last year3.3%；6Monthly Consumer Price Reconciliation Index(HICP)终值较上月上升0.4%Growth compared to the same period last year3.4%。

(Analysis provided by the Research Department of King Financial Group's Cross Harbour)