原油不按常理出牌下跌，3.3原油走势解析及布局

【导语】投资犹如下棋，棋艺高者能看出五步，七步甚至十几步，而棋艺低者只能看出两三步，高者顾大局，谋大势，不以一子一地为重，以最终赢棋为目标，低者则寸土必争，只为争一时之需，结果频频受困。趋势，一定要有长远眼光，投资，一定要有长远规划，而布局技巧是成功的关键。做投资，如果你的能力不足以支撑你现在的状况，那么你需要一位军师助你操控大局，一次选择，就是一次转折！一次尝试，就是一次机会！
Lingxiao Chongjin-crude oil市场解析
Russian Energy Minister Novak said that the production reduction agreement between OPEC and non OPEC countries may be extended until2017In the second half of this year, it is still too early to determine whether the agreement can be extended. Whether the reduction in production will be delayed will depend on the decline in crude oil inventories. If the production reduction agreement cannot be extended, it is expected that Russian crude oil production will decrease2017Annual increase5.48-5.51Billion tons（1101-110710000 barrels/Day).

此外，美元走强也一定程度上令油价承压，因其令持有其他货币的投资者投资石油的成本更高；美联储官员发表评论称美联储或将在近期加息后，美元兑多国货币均升至7周以来高位。根据彭博利率市场监察，美联储3The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is90%，6The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is96.3%。
Lingxiao Chongjin-Analysis of Crude Oil Market Situation
当所有人都在看原油震荡的时候，这回原油不按常理出牌了，昨天一路弱势下行，到美盘加速下跌，而这个加速过后居然不反弹了，经过昨天的下跌，行情调整的倾向更加明显，看来上周因为高开测试55一带前高阻力是无效，现在价格已经在53下方，日线中阴收线压制不是一般的强，今天反弹后继续做空，如图前期低点连线支撑在52一带，原油终究还是逃不过高位震荡的局，现在重新测试52一带支撑，已经很多次测试了，不知道能否顶住，52-55区间震荡，注意空头力度，震荡时间已经太长太长，随着日线的弱势下跌，有可能会将51-52区域支撑打穿然后出方向

Lingxiao Chongjin-原油操盘策略
1Rebound to53One line empty, stop loss53.5, Objective52；
2、52Multiple frontlines, stop loss51.5, Objective52.8, hold against the limit.
Friendly reminder:
Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market,The above viewpoints and strategies are for reference only. It is recommended that investors make their own decisions and trade with a balance of stop loss and take profit, bearing the risks themselves.
I also hope that investors understand that the market is always right. If you are wrong, you should summarize where your own problems lie and not let the profits that should have been obtained fly away.
本文由独立撰稿人凌霄冲金（微/letterlxcj1234）Writing, public/numberlxcj6688言辞建议仅代表个人观点，仅供参考，行情多变，谨慎操作！转载文章请标明出处