First Gold Momo:3/1黄金速递

Fundamentals:
日本央行审议委员佐藤健裕：如果央行看到经济和物价改善，灵活调整收益率目标以反映市场发展是合适的。全球经济未来所面临的风险包括美国货币政策推动新兴市场的资本外逃。如果通胀增速超过预期，日本长期利率或面临上行压力。灵活、适度对目标进行调整是审慎的。不确定日本央行可以在进行常规的购债操作时维持利率在0%水平。以固定利率购买国债只不过是应急工具。更陡的收益率曲线有利于刺激经济以及稳定信心。个人认为，收益率曲线的形状陡一些更为合适。央行购债计划将克服通缩，而不是财政赤字。从原则上同意目前宽松的框架。不可能同时为量宽和利率设定目标。认为资产购买规模将逐渐下滑的想法是很自然的。政策不应受80万亿日元国债购买额度的限制。市场并不那么看好物价前景.

美联储布拉德：因近期CPI数值较高，预计即将公布的PCE核心通胀报告数据也会偏高。提前计入新财政政策的影响对美联储政策来说具有“杀伤力”。仍预计今年美国经济增长率为2%，因此没有理由对加息持激进的态度。不认为特朗普政府政策的不确定性将很快得到解决，从而得以调整美联储的政策。我们将耐心等候国会和政府的发言。加息什么时候发生尚不可预测。威廉姆斯的讲话与之前的一致。未来几次会议可能会增加对资产负债表的讨论


Technical aspect:
Today's opening price1245.7.highest1246.3, minimum1242.3Current price1243.9. Yesterday's opening1253.2, highest1258.2 , minimum1245.5Closing1245.8，又是波动13美金左右。今日金价开盘后，还是走跌。从日线图来看，金价触及1263后，开始反跌。现在在布林中轨附近。形成早晨之星。同样在4小时图，我们也看到有早晨之星。1小时图也是。金价有要发起一次上攻，同时1Hour chart,K线处于布林下轨的上方。上攻有一定空间。


Investment advice
Today's trend: up
can1244There are many orders nearby, look1250.Stop loss1240.reach1250When nearby, stop loss can be moved to1245Look1258Near.


Today's follow:
08:30 Australia Q4GDPthe annual rate
09:00 China2Monthly official manufacturingPMI
09:45 China2Yuecai New Manufacturing IndustryPMIFinal value
10:00 美国总统特朗普首次向国会全体发表重要的政策演讲
15:00 britain2monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
16:50 France2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
16:55 Germany2Monthly manufacturing industryPMI终值、德国2Unemployment after quarterly adjustment, Germany2Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
17:00 eurozone2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
17:30 britain2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIUK1Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit
21:00 Germany2monthCPIInitial monthly rate
21:30 加拿大第四季度经常帐、美国1Monthly personal expenditure rate, US1Monthly CorePCEMonthly and annual rates of price index
22:45 U.S.A2monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value
23:00 加拿大央行利率决议、美国2monthISMmanufacturingPMI, USA1Monthly construction expenditure monthly rate
23:30 From the United States to2month24Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock
The next day02:00 Federal Reserve2017yearFOMC票委卡普兰参加名为“对话美联储”的活动
The next day03:00 Federal Reserve Announces Economic Situation Brown Book

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