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Yue Ying Talks about Gold:2.27午夜金评,原油局势被打破,金银技术回调!

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【消息面:】

     last weekgold成为金融市场最大的赢家,周五金价一度升至1259.79dollar/盎司,触及三个月高位。金价上涨主要因市场对避险资产的需求增加。而且,随着法国大选进程的不断推进,欧元区风险也在逐步增加,此外,加上特朗普政策在全球搅动风云,投资者对避险资产的需求进一步增加。美联储方面,上周四公布的会议纪要偏鸽,令美指涨幅收窄,支撑金价。近期特朗普虽然放松了金融监管,对美元利好,但他的贸易政策和移民政策都是市场的不确定因素,美指涨势将因此在一定程度上将受限。



     油价上周五下跌,油价从2015year7The highest closing level since the beginning of the month has fallen, as concerns about increased US supply outweigh those of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)誓言进一步提高减产兑现率的影响。但油价将录得周线涨幅,因交易员开始出售高价库存,实货市场显现出收紧的信号。与此同时,美国钻探商连续第六周增加钻探活动,延续了长达九个月的钻探活动复苏之势。



     之前由减产协议实施完美加上美国出口量增加导致库存减少带来一波crude oil走高,受各种消息面影响,缓慢下滑,其实下滑速度越莹看来是不如预期的,美指今天走低,如果不是美元走低那么越莹想油价今日必定是一波暴跌。



Technical analysis of crude oil:



     原油在日线级别上一直强调的原油在高位构筑头部形态,如果一旦头部形成后原油将出现断崖式下跌行情。从4小时图分析,越莹认为4小时图已经形成双顶形态,原油行情先反弹到54.5再掉头向下挑战53.7位置然后再反弹到53.9位置,综合来看,最终会下挫考验53.4低位。综合来看,操作上越莹

建议整体可维持区间不破的情况下反弹做空。



【原油操作建议:】

1Suggest using54.5美元附近做空,止损默认,目标看向53.5Near USD;

2Suggest using53.7美元附近做多,止损默认,目标看54.5上方附近



【黄金技术分析:】



      金价目前完全被多头掌控,后市有望继续冲高,但短线仍需留意200Daily moving average1262美元附近的阻力,若未能升破该位置,金价或回踩1244美元附近的支撑,进一步支撑位于布林线中轨1225美元附近;若金价有效站上1262美元上方,金价有望向1300美元关口发起冲击。四小时均线开始走平,KDJ死叉发散,副图指标MACD红色能量柱缩量,有死叉迹象。日线布林带上轨与月线短周期均线MA10压制金价进一步上行。短期内回调的可能性较大,下方首先看1252附近支撑,其次是1248一线,上方阻力无疑是1262一线,进一步的强阻力看1280一线。越莹建议操作上以低多为主的思路,首次冲击1262-1264一线可以短空。



【黄金操作建议:】

1Suggest calling back to1250-1248Frontline multiple entry, stop loss1243Target sees1260-1262;

2Suggest rebounding to1260-1262一线短线空单,止损1265Target sees1252-1250。



【白银技术分析:】

      从四小时走势图上看,均线多头排列,位于布林带上轨之下运行,布林带开口,MACD金叉,红色动能柱放量,随机指标KDJ三线平行向上运行,上方压力18.5美元附近,下方支撑18.0美元,但是白银的空单还是可以尝试的白银走势其实还是有规律性,强势突破后就是震荡,所以操作上越莹建议以短线震荡为主。



【白银操作建议:】

1Suggest callback18.20美元附近多单进场,止损默认,目标18.40Near USD;

2、若银价在18.40附近受阻,可在18.35/18.40Empty, look at the target18.20/18.25, broken18.20Move down to18.15Near.



writing/Yue Ying Talks about Gold  Wei/IM-0210212

   Kind reminder: Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Due to differences in platform locations, it is important to clarify the contracts used by the platform for exchange rate conversion to avoid unnecessary losses. The above views and strategies are for reference only. It is recommended that investors make their own decisions and trade with stop loss and stop profit measures at their own risk.

   
I am a senior analyst at the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which is currently the only legally engaged gold and silver exchange in China approved by the State CouncilTDThe national level platform for trading is the Shanghai Gold Exchange, with platform silver3.2Capital return1Kgit needs only536, lever7.5-8Double, micro gold0.2Repayment,1KgMargin requirement30030The leverage is9-10Times. Low leverage, controllable risk, and very safe funds. For more details, please consult Yueying herself.
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