Hong Jingyuan:12month21沥青午间操作建议（EIA必看）

Hong Jingyuan:12month21沥青午间操作建议（EIA必看）
　　盘面中沥青走势陷入极度疲弱。因临近圣诞假期，且市场正在等待美国产量数据以观察页岩油增量能否抵消OPECAnd nonOPEC减产规模，交易清淡的情况下，油价几乎横盘。风投基金PSWInvestments合伙人戴维斯(PhilDavis)表示：“什么都没发生。美元横盘、油价横盘，圣诞前交易清淡，我们预期在圣诞前出现大行情的可能性不太大。”总体来说，大资金都在观望。笔者认为，美国产量应该能显著抵消OPEC减产，尤其是我们不认为产油国会一贯而终地合作。虽然OPEC一开始的减产会很彻底，但是随着美国页岩油对有所提高的油价做出响应，OPEC在明年一季度末能够维持60%的减产规模看来都是困难的。所以过多的寄希望OPEC动产来大幅度提升油价，何须是好梦难圆!Life needs planning, money needs management;You don't manage finances, money doesn't care about you;Making money relies on opportunities, investing on wisdom, and managing finances on professionalism. Deconstructing relies on attitude, judgment comes from observation, and more importantly, from professionalism. Taking risks is beyond reproach, but at the same time, remember not to put all your eggs in one basket!Add author Hong Jingyuan's authority:ky4626Online guidance and analysis of market trends.
　　沥青盘中近期走势也反映出对OPEC减产预期的不乐观，因为起走势总是纠结，已改前期的豪气拉升走势。目前沥青价格围绕短期5day10日均线，进行修复性整理。昨日盘中一度出现上攻动作。但是在接近前期高点附近时刻，遭到了空方极其猛烈的轰炸，导致沥青盘中急速狂跌，瞬间回吐历经几小时的拉升成果。对于今日沥青走势，我们预测还会盘中试探昨日高点，建议操作上依然逢高做空，毕竟上当压力依然巨大。
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