Chen Wangyao: (Zhou Ping)OPCEOn both sides, non farm farming is approaching, analysis of the trend of crude oil, asphalt, and silver next week

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I believe everyone still remembers9month28numberOPECThe initial agreement reached by the country to freeze production for the first time in eight years, the news of which once saved oil prices and put them back on track50Above the US dollar. However, the good times didn't last long, and then they burst outOPECThere are still many unresolved internal conflicts that may make it difficult to support the specific implementation of this agreement, and as a result, oil prices have been severely suppressed. In the past two months, oil prices have been fluctuating around this production freeze agreement. Finally, the implementation of this agreement will be announced in Vienna next week.

Many analysts say that regardless of the outcome of this agreement, there cannot be significant fluctuations in oil prices, as American shale oil companies have been restless and their participation will greatly weaken the effects of production cuts. And some analysts say that once the agreement is reached, oil prices are expected to hit again50The US dollar, because it is the equilibrium price that most countries hope to see. In my opinion, based on the current basic situation, the probability of reaching this agreement is high, because whether you consider the global economic situation or the interests of oil producing countries, everyone hopes that oil prices can recover. Of course, the final outcome still depends on the discussion in next week's meeting. Once it is established, then next week'scrude oilThe direction will also be re selected, and natural gas will also be affected by fluctuations in oil prices.


Next week's non farm payroll will also hit again, and we all know that this data has a significant impact on precious metals. At the Federal Reserve, for12With full confidence in monthly interest rate hikes, this non farm payroll data is particularly important. Once unexpected performance occurs, it is likely to affect the implementation of interest rate hikes, which will further affect the trend of precious metals. So, how should the future market of silver be? The market is waiting patiently for the verdict of non farm farming! Add WeChat for more messages:cwy3368


Analysis of crude oil market trend:

In terms of crude oil, Black Friday is indeed well deserved, and the crude oil market on Friday was shocking. Oil producing countries are all preparing for next week's arrivalOPECWhy does crude oil continue to fall despite efforts made at the production freeze conference? The main reason for this is due to Saudi Arabia's fickleness. He does not allow other countries to shake his position as the oil leader, so he refused Monday's requestOPECTechnical meetings. This initiative once again cast a shadow over the achievement of the freeze on production, resulting in a significant decline in crude oil prices in the United States. I think the drop in crude oil prices last night was just one of the reasons, and another reason was the strengthening of the US dollar and the increase in US drilling platforms. Although the US dollar experienced a certain correction on Friday, it remained high, which to some extent suppressed oil prices. Secondly, the increase in drilling made the market more cautious and unwilling to hold more long positions. Although there was a significant drop in crude oil prices on Friday, I stated that there was no rebound in crude oil prices for the day48.2Ninggui Asphalt4639）Near empty, the market has reached its highest point48.04Ninggui Asphalt4624）Look at the given target4732and46.6(Looking at Ning Gui Asphalt)4543and4485）The market has reached its lowest point47.2Ninggui Asphalt4545）The overall trend is profitable. Congratulations to those who have followed, you have made money. For next week's market trend, let's first look at the weekly chart. The weekly chart has once again collected a cross star with a long upper lead, which will basically give up the gains of the previous three days. The direction is currently unclear, but bearish energy still exists; From a daily level perspective, one bearish candlestick destroys four bullish candlesticks. After being suppressed by the upper Bollinger Bands, the market directly descends towards the middle Bollinger Bands, and the bullish energy continues to shrink. The random indicator moves downwards with a high dead cross. Taking into account other technical indicators, at the beginning of next week's opening, it is likely that oil prices will continue to decline as they did on Friday. Below, we will focus on this45.60We need to focus on the support from the front line and the future situationOPECThe trend.


Analysis of silver market trend:

In terms of silver, due to the Federal Reserve12The affirmation of monthly interest rate hikes has not brought any good fruit to silver, as it has been continuously suppressed and hit a new low. Today was also surprising as silver showed signs of bottoming out and rebounding. Does this mean it has successfully bottomed out? We still need to look at next week's non farm performance. The bottoming out rebound of silver also gave us a good opportunity to seize it. I will give a intraday spot silver correction on Friday16.1(Ning Gui Silver)4990）Multiple orders nearby, lowest callback16.15(Ning Gui Silver)4495）Nearby, multiple targets have been identified16.4The market has reached its peak16.5(Ning Gui Silver)5103）Profit making0.35The US dollar is more valuable than silver for profit100Congratulations to the friend who followed, you have made a profit. Silver experienced a significant rebound on Friday due to the weakening of the US dollar,goldIt's the same, but the amplitude of gold is greater. For the future market trend, looking at the weekly chart, after silver hit the bottom, it collected a bearish candlestick with upper and lower shadows, showing a trend of turning around and leveling off; At the daily level, Friday's bottoming out rebound gave bulls a lot of confidence, but does this mean that silver has changed direction? In fact, it cannot be said with such certainty because the space above Friday's rebound has not yet been opened up, and the market has reached the starting and falling levels of the previous days and started to fluctuate under pressure. This is not what we call accumulating strength. So if the future market for silver continues to rise, it must first break through16.6frontline. Add WeChat for more market analysis:cwy3368


Three points that investors need to pay attention to:


1.The importance of stop loss: People who have lost money often ask Teacher Chen why they have lost money. My answer is, have you brought a stop loss? Most people would say that there is no stop loss for volatile markets, but what if there is a one-sided market?You may make money, but what if you lose? I will search for articles in the market and ask teachers why they will lose money; Actually, the most important thing you should do at this time is to reflect on why you didn't include stop loss. Do you know the importance of stop loss? Stop loss is the most fundamental guarantee for funds; If you have a teacher who doesn't even ask you to stop losses, my advice to you, Chen Wangyao, is that you can switch to another teacher. A teacher who doesn't even know how to stop losses and asks clients to take them is simply a mess.


2.Data market: News plays a more important role or influence in driving, stimulating, and assisting market trends, rather than directly corresponding to them. The core of the trend is still the technical trend itself. Through technical trends, how to reasonably view data and respond to market changes is also what Chen Wangyao has been trying to convey in his articles. A stable trading system, timely response, and rational judgment are the fundamental aspects of trading.


3.Reason for loss: Have you had a teacher before or have you experienced losses? Is it the teacher's fault or your own fault?If it's the teacher's fault, continue to find the teacher you think is good. If it's your own problem, you need to reflect and summarize how to avoid these problems next time, such as being greedy, taking on orders, and blindly entering without thinking, as many people have mentioned.

Walking by the river often, there are no shoes that are not wet. Chen Wangyao can responsibly tell you that no teacher in the market dares to say, 'The clients I lead have always been profitable and have never lost anything.'. For the investment market, the same is true. When investing well, one should not have a mentality of taking chances. It is important to be vigilant at all times, but also not to be anxious. Taking chances means not using stop loss, increasing positions, being greedy for operations, hesitating to exit, and so on. One or two attempts may lead to a lucky success, but will you still have this idea after multiple attempts? Correct entry and exit, reasonable operation, long-term observation, and not only focusing on short-term development, will the market go far.


The above statements represent the personal views of Chen Wangyao for reference only, and the risks are borne by oneself;Different platforms and locations require investors to make their own choices while paying attention to the reasonable allocation of risks and profits; Investment carries risks, and caution is required when entering the market; I, Professor Chen Wangyao, provide the most practical assistance with the most professional analysis. I wish everyone a pleasant investment! More details to add credibility:cwy3368Chen Wangyao provides real-time guidance.


writing/Chen Wangyao