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银价的下挫主要是受美元指数上涨的打压

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Huitong Network11month14Daily News - Monday(11month14day)开盘后,现货白银一路下行,刷新近六个月低位至17.05dollar/盎司,现小幅反弹至17.20美元盎司附近。而银价的下挫主要是受美元指数上涨的打压,自特朗普胜选之后,美债收益率不断上升,加之市场目前普遍预期美联储将于12月加息,使得美元指数周一大幅走强,刷新2month1Daily high99.45,直逼100Da Guan.

美元指数气势昂扬,银价退守17dollar

汇通网援引联邦基金futures走势分析出,美联储在12month13-14日会议上作出加息25个基点决定的几率现已升至84%,美元即期汇率指数上涨0.3%,今日有望创出2月份以来的最高收盘水平。

汇通网援引知名零售foreign exchange经纪商安达市场策略师Jeffrey Halley称,人们似已从“特朗普危机”中缓过神来,特朗普的财政政策显示,其希望扩大基础设施建设,这将推高通胀及借贷利率和美债收益率,当美债收益率上升,gold等贵金属的吸引力就会下降。

汇通网援引瑞穗证券首席外汇策略师Masafumi Yamamoto表示,在特朗普阵营尚未披露任何具体政策步骤之际,持续追涨美元可能是好主意,市场担心,特朗普在总统大选中取胜及其反全球化的政策,可能对意大利、荷兰和法国明年的公投以及选举带来影响,因此欧元可能更容易受到负面压力的冲击。

不过随着大选过后,本周美联储主席耶伦(Janet Yellen)将携众官员密集发声,官员们的言论能否进一步释放加息信号也许密切留意,汇通网分析认为若美元指数持续走强,银价或将再度承压。


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