刘衍睿：当你手上有单的时候，你是否会无法“思考”?

　　刘衍睿：当你手上有单的时候，你是否会无法“思考”?

　　如果你是持有多单，你会“希望”走势一直上扬──是的，你希望。这是一种强烈的欲望，它会驱使你的思考朝偏多的方向去发展。同理，如果你是持有空单或者没有持仓，你会“希望”走势就此下跌。

Why is this happening?Let's start with the fundamentals: there has never been a rigorous causal relationship in the investment field, and a fundamental message may appear to different people2Interpret in the opposite direction. For example, the event of rising inflation. Radical people believe that this is beneficial for the market, as inflation indicates economic growth. Conservative people believe that this is bearish for the market, as inflation can trigger tightening policies from the central bank and government, which is actually detrimental to the market. This type of example is common in the market, so it is common to see news or data that leads to unexpected market trends.

　　这就造成投资人心态的不稳定而无法思考的现象。因为大多数人都会对自己操作方向有利的消息记忆犹新，并且不断巩固。但对自己不利的消息就会忽略。其实我们前面说过了，大多数市场消息没什么绝对的利好或利空，不同人有不同的解读。

　　下面分析师刘衍睿说一下对于技术面的看法。目前的市场上比较成熟的技术分析都没有绝对准确的信号。任何经典的技术图形和操作信号都有例外。而且技术图对市场的解读对强弱转换没有明显的界限。也就是说任何上涨的走势都在酝酿回调的压力，任何下行的走势都在酝酿反弹的动能。而什么时候酝酿好没有确定的标准。比如rsiIndicators, usually considered as30Nearby is a vulnerable pattern, but if we can30There will be a strong rebound while maintaining stability nearby. The tricky thing is that it is difficult to determine the signal of stability at that time, and often requires confirmation of the later trend. Once confirmed, the market often goes through a big wave. So as long as the position is in hand, it also causes investors to not think and not know how to operate.

　　所以总的来说，不是技术分析、也不是基本面分析，而是欲望──欲望，往往才是操作时幕后真正的“主人”。不是理智、也没有思考，而是黑暗中潜意识在涌动。

　　分析师刘衍睿看过很多人的分析，也见过很多人操盘，有的人嘴巴里讲的是技术分析、有的人文章里基本分析讲的头头是道──其实驱使这些行为动作的幕后只是当事人自己偏多或偏空的私心而已。与什么分析不分析的，很多时候无关。

The goal of successful investors is to exercise themselves and hold orders(Retain warehouse)的时候，还能够理性的思考，客观的分析。

　　注意：这点非常重要!

　　很多人误以为最重要的是学会技术分析的方法或是基本分析的方法之后就可以赚钱了──这观念只对了一半，但是错的那一半呢，却足以让你致命。

If you learn methods but lose your objective stance because you already have a plan, then learning too much is useless.

If you have too much desire, it will blind your eyes.

If you excessively imagine that the market will follow the direction of your order, this delusion will eventually lead you to destruction.

Desire never extinguishes, reason can never be clear.

　　总而言之就是一句话：少关注价格，多关注结构，借助团队的力量，控制风险，从而实现盈利。

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