Li Xingheng:10.24Suggestions for intraday operation of Huakuang Asphalt Silver

      I am advantageous,Customer without profit, Then the guest does not exist;
　　
Customer benefit,I am not profitable,Then I do not exist;
　　
I, Li Da,Ke Li Xiao,Not long after the arrival of the guest;
　　
Ke Li Da,I benefit the small,Stay here for a long time!
　　
Mozi--The Way of Commerce
　　
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
　　
　　①15:00France10Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
　　
　　②15:30Germany10Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
　　
　　③16:00eurozone10Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
　　
　　④18:00britain10monthCBIIndustrial order difference
　　
　　⑤20:30Canada8Monthly wholesale sales rate
　　
　　⑥21:05Federal Reserve2016yearFOMCVoting Committee Brad delivers a speech
　　
⑦21:45U.S.A10monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIinitial value
　　
Message analysis:
　　
According to data recently released by the US Treasury Department, China8Reduction of holdings of US treasury bond bonds in January337Billion US dollars, with a reduction of2013The largest increase since the beginning of the year, but China remains the largest creditor of the United States. As of8At the end of this month, the total amount of US treasury bond bonds held by China reached1.1851Trillion dollars, setting a new record2012year11New low since the beginning of the month. Among them, China has sold and purchased long-term assets from the United States, reducing its holdings of long-term securities in total173.72USD100mn
　　
Zhao Yayun, a researcher of Housheng Think Tank, said that against the background of the enhanced expectation of US dollar interest rate increase, central banks around the world are selling US treasury bond bonds, and the People's Bank of China is also following the trend to prevent capital outflows, stabilize the exchange rate and reduce the value of the RMB after "entering the basket"foreign exchangeReserves and other factors are all considered.
　　
Since the US treasury bond bonds have relied heavily on overseas investors for nearly three decades, the selling of China and other central banks will undoubtedly increase the financing difficulties of the US government, which may have a certain impact on the interest rate increase of the Federal Reserve. Of course, the largest buyer of US treasury bond bonds is the Federal Reserve and US domestic investors. That is to say, the Federal Reserve will not choose not to raise interest rates because of this, but it is possible to postpone or increase interest rates less.
　　
Before this year8China's accumulated holdings of US treasury bond bonds have been reduced in the past six months529USD100mn But China's attitude towards Japan's treasury bond is completely opposite: this year1reach8In June, China accumulatively increased its holdings of Japanese treasury bond bonds by nearly9Trillion yen (approximately867Billion US dollars, while the same period last year was only2.97Trillion yen, growth of approximately2Times.
　　
And here8During the month period, the Japanese yen has accumulated an appreciation against the US dollar14%Accumulated appreciation of Japanese yen against Chinese yuan16.5%——Without a doubt, the People's Bank of China has done a good business. The Nihon Keizai Shimbun said that as China's holdings of US treasury bond have decreased, it is highly likely that some funds will be diverted to Japanese treasury bond. However, the international financial situation is unstable, and it is uncertain whether China's "explosive buying" can continue.
　　
　　crude oilMarket analysis and operational suggestions:
　　
From the weekly trend chart of US crude oil, it can be seen that crude oil has collected five consecutive positive bars,MA5andMA10The daily moving average crosses the golden cross,MACDIndicator red kinetic energy column release,KDJThe moving average is parallel and upward. From the daily chart, it can be seen that crude oil has experiencedOPECAfter a significant increase in production reduction expectations, it has been in a high consolidation market,KLine oscillation50-52USD range,MA5、MA10Equal-line bonding,MACDThe red kinetic energy column shrinks, and the fast and slow lines flatten,KDJParallel operation of moving averages; From the four hour trend chart, the moving average system as a whole shows a bullish arrangement,5The daily moving average runs upwards10The daily moving average forms a golden cross and continues to rise,KLine price along5The daily moving average is moving upwards and supported by it, and the current price is51The integer level of the US dollar.MACDThe trend of the indicator speed line turning upwards above the zero axis is obvious, and the green kinetic energy column continues to shrink,RSIThe indicators cross and diverge upwards.
　　
Suggestions for USD oil operations, falling back50.1Nearby, stop loss49.6, look at the goal51.1-51.3
　　
Suggestions for Huakuang Asphalt Operation:2520Nearby, stop loss2485.Target View2560-2580
　　
Technical Analysis of Silver Market:
　　
International spot silver Monday(10month21day)In the early morning session of the Asian market, there was a slight decline17.50dollar/Around ounces. Last Friday(10month21day)The silver price remained basically unchanged, mainly due to the limited upward space limited by the rise of the US dollar, but it recorded the first weekly increase in four weeks that week. Investors still need to pay attention to the third quarter of the United States this weekGDPAnd heavyweight data such as durable goods orders, as well as speeches from Federal Reserve officials.
　　
Technically speaking, at the daily level, the overnight silver price remains relatively stable, but it still remains stable200Daily moving average17.34Above the US dollar, overall located17.10-18Within the fluctuation range of the US dollar. In terms of indicators,MACDThe initial appearance of a red kinetic energy column, with double-line horizontal bonding,KDJThe indicators show signs of turning back and the medium-term risk tends to be neutral.4HAt the level, indicators suggest a downward trend in short-term silver price risk, and if it falls short200The daily moving average may further widen the decline. The initial resistance to silver prices currently lies in17.80/17.85USD, preliminary support17.34/31US dollars. Overall, it is still recommended to17.30-17.85Light positions between the US dollar should sell high and buy low, and strict protective stop loss measures should be taken.
　　
London Bank's operational recommendations:17.3Nearby, stop loss17.1.target17.7-17.8
　　
Suggestions for Huakuang Silver Operation:3770-3780Multiple, stop loss3740.target3820-3850
　　
For more details, please consult online, Li Xingheng Knocking and Knocking1919￥356￥225. Solve for yougoldAll the worries and difficulties on the road of crude oil investment, Xinghengwei.apricotlxh88qBringing more substantial and effective assistance to your investment(There are risks in the market, and investment needs to be cautious
　　
Analyst: Li Xingheng
　　
　　2016.10.24