Yang Jingle:10month24Japan's US treasury bond bonds were sold off, waiting for the news to stimulate the counter attack

Yang Jingle:10month24Japan's US treasury bond bonds were sold off, waiting for the news to stimulate the counter attack

As the largest creditor of the United States, China8Reduction of holdings of US treasury bond bonds in January337Billion US dollars, with a reduction of2013The largest increase since the beginning of the year has increased the financing difficulties for the US government, which may have a certain impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike. Against the background of stronger expectations of US dollar interest rate hikes, central banks around the world are selling US treasury bond bonds, and the People's Bank of China is also following the trend to prevent capital outflows, stabilize exchange rates, and reduce the value of RMB after its "basket entry"foreign exchangeReserves and other factors are all considered.

Since the US treasury bond bonds have relied heavily on overseas investors for nearly three decades, the selling of China and other central banks will undoubtedly increase the financing difficulties of the US government, which may have a certain impact on the interest rate increase of the Federal Reserve. Of course, the largest buyer of US treasury bond bonds is the Federal Reserve and US domestic investors. That is to say, the Federal Reserve will not choose not to raise interest rates because of this, but it is possible to postpone or increase interest rates less.

Once the Federal Reserve's interest rate increase is affected by the sharp selling of its treasury bond bonds, the Federal Reserve has to consider the impact of external factors, so as long as the interest rate increase expectation is affected and the strong dollar is again close100The integer threshold, callback or inevitable, for already lowcrude oilFor example, under the premise of a rebound in fundamentals and the joint support of this factor, it will once again rebound under the new price system(International oil prices returning50reach60Interval fluctuations of)Every time we approach50There are opportunities for multiple orders to be laid out on the front line or for the middle line, and now the shock is only waiting for the stimulation of the news surface to launch another counterattack horn.

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