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Ding Wanting:4month7dayEIA后现货沥青后市操作策略及分析

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  Ding Wanting:4month7dayEIA后现货沥青后市操作策略及分析


Wednesday Beijing Time(4month6day)night22:30United States Energy Information Administration(EIA)公布的具体数据显示,截至4month1Day and Weekcrude oilReduced inventory recorded493.7万桶,预期值为增加315Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is an increase229.910000 barrels;当周汽油库存录得增加143.8Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease96.7Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease251.410000 barrels;当周精炼油库存录得增加179.9Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease33.3Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease107.510000 barrels;During the week, crude oil inventories in the Cushing area of Oklahoma recorded an increase35.7Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease27.2Ten thousand barrels.EIA数据公布后,布油美油双双走高。

API原油库存录得今年最大降幅后,美国能源部官方的EIA原油库存再次确认了上周美国原油库存下滑的状况,并录得自1月第一周以来录得的最大降幅;虽然汽油、精炼油有所上升,库欣原油更升至6630万桶的储能上限,但市场更愿意解读“原油库存减少,且美国产量降低”的影响,油价因而受到有力支撑并扩大日间涨幅。

周三俄罗斯方面的消息人士透露,冻产协议的达成将有助于全球油市在半年内恢复平衡;该国并不计划抑制新项目的产出水准,在冻产协议实施时可能使用其他手段抑制添加薇,信zyt433此举也就意味着俄罗斯并不会因为冻产协议而减少产出,其也代表着大多数的产油国目前的心声。

美联储方面,凌晨EIA数据公布之后,市场密切关注的美联储3月会议纪要最终公布,基本消灭了四月份的加息预期,纪要显示FOMC委员们在会议上分歧加重恐令加息进程遭受进一步阻滞,这令美元承压。沥青价格受此提振最终反弹至3650frontline.

技术层面而言,图形上遭遇了周线MA10And daily lineBOLL中轨的粘合阻力,可以想象这个位置的阻力之强,那么这一线如果能突破的话后市沥青或许就可以再次考虑回调做多了。近两个交易日的反弹动能我们需要观察,如果动能较强,考虑顺势回调做多,如果反弹受阻于关键阻力位,仍然考虑高位反弹做空,目前而言,上方阻力位位于3720一线,此点位为本轮反弹50%The location and4小时图形布林带上轨的位置,周线图MA10的位置,所以反弹能否延续需要关注此点位附近的阻力情况,日内支撑目前位于3570reach3580区间,此点位为反弹突破之后需要回踩确认支撑的点位添加薇,信zyt433所以综合以上分析,预计日内的波动在3570reach3720section.

日内具体操作:

1. rebound3710reach3720Short range, stop loss3760, Objective3640reach3650

2. Callback3570Long nearby, stop loss3520, Objective3630reach3640

3.Please refer to the actual skirt for specific operations339-369-738Note:789The current price is subject to ordering.
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I am Zhou Yiting, a senior financial analyst who specializes in providing guidance on spot gold, silver, asphalt, and crude oil. For investment friends who need assistance, please contact meQQ3254331091, WeChatzyt433.
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