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Tonight? 8点半的 CPI 数据,要么把gold砸破关键支撑,要么直接拉反弹行情。黄金已经续近期新低,离第一道关键支撑位近在咫尺。美联储近期有放鹰迹象,甚至有明确说支持更快加息。 加上巴尔、库克两位官员同步偏鹰,现在市场定价12月加息概率已经到81%。一旦CPI超预期,这个概率直接冲到90%以上,黄金会立刻承压。 简单一句: coreCPIexceed0.3%,加息预期升温,黄金大概率下探更深支撑; coreCPIlower than0.2%,加息预期降温,黄金有望迎来修复反弹。 当前位置是短期多空生关键位置,一旦撑不住,下一个测试位会看向更深的整数关口。 但也别盲目看空,中东的地缘风险还在托底。 霍尔木兹海峡一周6艘船遭袭,胡塞武装袭击沙特机场,油价高位震荡,供应风险没解除,黄金的避险支撑就还在。 Tonight?of走势、周末地缘风险变化,都是关键变数。 Hong Kong Hansheng Group kindly reminds that the gold market fluctuates greatly and there are risks in investment. Please make cautious decisions within your own risk tolerance range.There is no absolute bottom price for gold, so buying requires rationality and investment carries risks.
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