CPT MarketsThe shutdown of refineries and tight supply have boosted the rise of oil prices! Follow within the day...

Brentcrude oil (Brent Oil)：

Brent crude oil opened today for consolidation after a significant surge in closing on Monday82.61附近，为近三个月高点，因供应收紧及美国汽油需求上升，使得油价上行支撑。

在利多因素方面，随着OPEC+开始减产及全球供应趋紧，美原油futures收于每桶78美元上方。此外，埃克森美孚巴吞鲁日炼油厂的停电事件也加剧了盘中的上涨，该炼油厂的一个汽油生产催化裂化装置可能会停机数周。同时，夏季高需求驾驶季节的中断，也将3-2-1裂缝(衡量将原油转化为燃料的盈利能力的指标)推高至3月以来的最高水平。此外，美国三大股市全数收涨，包含标普指数收盘上涨0.42%The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher0.52%And the Nasdaq Index closed higher0.19%。

而在利空因素方面，周一公布的备受关注的调查数据显示，受服务业增长减速拖累，7月美国企业活动放缓至五个月低点，但投入价格下降和招聘放缓表明，美联储在降低通胀的努力中可能正在重要方面取得进展。标普全球指出7月跟踪制造业和服务业的美国综合采购经理人指数PMIfrom6Of53.2lower52，其中服务业活动指数从6Of54.4lower52.4。此外，据CMEFederal Reserve observations indicate that the Federal Reserve7Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to5.25%-5.50%The probability of the interval is98.3%； reach9Monthly cumulative interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is81.6%。

总而言之，油价受供应趋紧及炼油厂停产而提振，不过美国7月企业活动增长放缓及美联储本周加息25个基点概率维持高位，限制了油价的涨势；日内重点将关注IMF世界经济展望及美国7The Consumer Confidence Index of the Conference Chamber of Commerce in June.

Press from above(Upper resistance) 82.60，83.00； From the downward direction, the lower support82.20。

CPT MarketsRisk Tips and Disclaimers : The above article content is for reference only and is not intended as future investment advice.CPT Markets The articles published are mainly based on international financial data reports and international news as reference.