Chen Jianhao;5.12 Analysis of gold price trend and how to layout gold and crude oil? crude oil...

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　　   国际消息面解读

　　昨日的基本面美国至5month6Record of initial claims for unemployment benefits for the current week26.4Ten thousand people, for2021year10month30日当周以来新高。此外，美国4monthPPIMonthly rate recorded0.2%Also lower than market expectations0.3%，或提供美国通胀见顶的更多证据。所以美盘开始后行情快速拉升，但随后拜登与麦卡锡的债务上限会议推迟至下周，工作人员将继续接洽。舒默表示，谈判正取得进展。据标普全球市场情报，美国五年期信贷违约掉期（CDS）从周三收盘的73个基点上升至74个基点，是自2009year3月以来的最高水平。受此影响美指拉升，金银市场被打压回落，今日的基本面主要关注20:30The United States of America4月进口物价指数月率。随后看22:00The United States of America5月一年期通胀率预期和美国5月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值。

　　goldMarket trend analysis

At the daily level, gold surged and fell last week, forming a twilight star shape, suggesting a short-term risk of gold peaking; At the beginning of this week, gold continued to rise, but last night it rose and fell, which dampened the morale of many partiesKThe line is also a negative line with a longer upper shadow, indicating that the overall fluctuation of gold tends to fluctuate downwards. but5The daily moving average continues to turn downwards, with a trend of forming a dead fork,MACDIndicator slightly dead cross,KDJAndRSIThe indicator is slightly dead cross, indicating that the short-term advantage of short sellers is still limited; After a brief opening of the Bollinger Belt, there were signs of contraction again, limiting the short-term operating space of gold, and gold may continue to maintain high volatility and consolidation.

　　

The fluctuation of gold in the evening can be said to be another eye-opener. Due to the positive impact of initial application data, the upper part also touched as expected2041The high point followed by a normal decline, but currently, due to the influence of Fed officials' speeches, the market has also been continuously bearish, leading to a sustained decline below the previous strong support below2018-2020The checkpoint, and it also directly reached the lowest point below2011Near the checkpoint!

As the market continues to decline, our subsequent operating range will eventually change again, from the previous two days'2018-2048The interval has arrived at the current2008-2038In the middle and early weeks, the market moved from a low point1998Continuously moving up to Wednesday's best2021At the checkpoint, and now the low point support below has returned to below once again1998-2008In the range, with the continuous downward impact, our trading strategy will completely shift to high short selling!

Golden Operation Strategy: It is recommended to use the2023-2025Short and defend nearby2030Up, look down at the target2015-2010, break through and continue to hold;

Analysis of Silver Market Trend

The silver market opened yesterday at25.392The position of the market has slightly increased and given25.465的位置后行情展开回落过程，日线最低给到了24.118After the position was sorted out, the daily line finally closed at24.168的位置后行情以一根上影线稍长的大阴线收线，而这样的形态收尾后，今日的行情回踩空，点位上，今日的行情24.6Empty stop loss24.8Look at the target below24.1and23.8.

　　crude oilMarket trend analysis

Oil prices fell by approximately on Thursday2%To the lowest point in a week, because the political impasse over the US debt ceiling aroused anxiety about the economic recession of the world's largest oil consumer, and the increase in the number of US initial jobless claims also hit oil prices. USD rise5month1The highest since the beginning of the day, the latest US initial jobless claims data strengthened the reason for the Federal Reserve to stop raising interest rates, but did not boost people's expectations for a year-end interest rate cut. US Treasury Secretary Yellen urges Congress to raise31.4A trillion dollar federal debt limit and the avoidance of unprecedented defaults could trigger a global economic recession. The oil market largely overlooks the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries(OPEC)yes2023The organization predicts that the demand for global oil in China, the world's largest oil importing country, will increase.OPECChina's oil demand is expected to increase8010000 barrels/Day, higher than last month's7610000 barrels/Forecast for the day. However,OPEC表示，中国需求的增长可能会被其他地方的经济风险所抵消，包括美国债务上限僵局。昨日油价技术面整体在震荡交投中迎来压制震荡回落破底收盘，亚欧盘小幅反弹冲高承压73.4The checkpoint continues to fluctuate, fall back, and continue to decline, further penetrating the starting point of the Asian market in the afternoon72.5Continued suppression of fluctuations on the front line, hindered by weak price rebound in the evening72.6The level fell again and accelerated to break through the bottom, ultimately causing bearish positions to break through71Arrival at the checkpoint70.6Nearby weak rebound closing, daykLine reporting suppresses the downward trend and breaks the bottom, with the overall price at73.5There is a short-term head shape above, with two consecutive trading days of rebound under pressure and closing below the bottom, causing short-term prices to fall behind72Breaking through the checkpoint5The key support for the daily moving average is expected to continue the downward adjustment, and today's upward pressure is focused on yesterday's opening of a bearish market in the US market72.6-72.8Area, relying on this position for intraday rebound, continue to hold the main air and see the bottom fall again, and the short-term long short strong weak watershed73关口，日线级别未突破并站稳此位置之前继续保持反抽主空节奏不变，顺势向下看调整，具体操作策略我会在盘中提示，及时关注。

Crude oil(contract06)Operational strategy

　　1: Eurasian Plate Touches72.6Short selling, stop loss73.3Target bit71.6-71.3

　　2European and American markets are under pressure72.4Direct empty, stop loss73.1Target bit71.2-71

　　（稳健等待盘中现价单提示）

The most terrifying thing in the market is not the lack of market conditions, not the lack of opportunities, but the confusion and disorderly placing of orders. A person who doesn't know where to go is facing in the opposite direction, and the wind blowing in any direction will be against the wind!People who also do not understand trading, no matter how long they short, once the market fluctuates, it is a disaster free! There is no fancy language here, only tangible trading and clear and straightforward operations. The market has only one direction, not long or short, but the right direction. Reasonable risk control+Good investment returns allow every individual investor to find the true joy of investing, instead of constantly increasing losses due to their daily hard trading. I have always believed that choice is more important than effort. A good mentor and technical team should not only bring profits to customers, but also be responsible for them. Individual investors, relying solely on their own efforts to face the market, are prone to being caught off guard when faced with sudden rises and falls. However, if someone can see the situation clearly and provide direction outside the circle, they can do better. If your order is not smooth or your investment often shrinks, you can talk to me and I will do my best to teach you how to fish. (Real offer experience group, free experience)3-5Current price list).

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