After a slight increase in Brent crude oil on Tuesday, it rose to74.96附近,因对瑞士信贷的纾困缓和了对银行业危机的担忧及美股上涨,使得油价获得上行提振。
在利多数据方面,上周美国两家地区性银行接连倒闭,随后第一共和银行获得纾困及瑞士信贷被收购,令银行板块遭到重挫,并加剧了对金融业动荡蔓延的担忧,这反过来又增强了全球对经济衰退可能性增加的焦虑。不过对银行业流动性的普遍担忧有所缓解,周二美国三大股市全数收涨,包含标普指数上涨1.30%The Dow Jones industrial average rose0.98%And the Nasdaq Index rose1.58%。此外,高盛大宗商品主管称银行业危机对大宗商品来说,更多的是供应方面的冲击,而非需求方面的冲击,欧洲相对安全,主要是美国地区银行的问题,到6月仍将面临石油短缺,这将推高油价。
In terms of bearish data, the American Petroleum InstituteAPIAnnouncement as of3month17日当周原油及汽油均比预期大幅上升至326.2Wanhe-109.5Ten thousand barrels. In addition, according toCME美联储观察美联储3The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is12.9%Interest rate hike25Bps to4.75%-5.00%The probability of the interval is87.1%; reach5The probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged on a monthly basis is3.9%Accumulated interest rate increase25The probability of a basis point is35.5%Accumulated interest rate increase50The probability of a basis point is60.5%。
Press from above(Upper resistance) 74.90,75.20; From the downward direction, the lower support74.40。
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