在利多因素方面,俄罗斯的海上原油流量上周有所回落,不过仍没有多少迹象表明该国已经像本月宣布的那样减产。在截至3month17日俄罗斯每天的原油出口量减少了910000 barrels to323万桶,波动较小的四周平均值下降了类似的幅度。此外,美国三大股市全数收涨,包含标普指数收盘上涨0.86The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher1.20%And the Nasdaq Index closed higher0.39%。
而在利空因素方面,上周六高盛下调了对布伦特原油futures价格的预测,预计布伦特原油期货未来12个月的平均价格为每桶94美元,明年下半年为97美元,低于之前预测的100美元。此前由于对银行业和经济衰退的担忧,油价自3月初以来重挫15%。此外,据CME美联储观察美联储3Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to4.75%-5.00%The probability of the interval is76.8%。
Press from above(Upper resistance) 73.80,74.20; From the downward direction, the lower support73.40。
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