Fang Yuan said gold: Gold retreats in place and is bullish, while crude oil rebounds based on low points

goldMarket trend analysis:


    黄金方面、昨日亚盘黄金承压1645-46压制获利，欧盘跌破1638小双底支撑，短线偏弱，但欧盘跌破，美盘前都没有出现延续，节奏上还是震荡。日线形态从上周突破1670，多头未延续，日线形成连阴回撤，对于多头信心打击比较大。但清楚目前市场形势、美联储面对经济衰退担忧，可能减缓加息脚步，同时美元和美债高位回落，黄金即使回撤，下方空间也非常有限。而目前形态属于上涨前期修正阶段，洗盘也非常正常。洗盘时间越长，后期爆发上涨的幅度反而就越大。



    短期形态方面、凌晨震荡破低，但早间直接走强，突破小时线中轨压制并连阳突破隔夜美盘震荡高点，短线已经走强，日内再次破低的概率就非常小。而且近几天承压均在亚盘时段，今天亚盘直接走强，所以日内继续布局多。目前上方仍需关注1645-46压制，突破短期就构建反转形态，日内一定不能出现大幅回撤，回撤幅度太大短期趋势还是震荡，所以下方回撤1638附近可多，最好等待突破1646压制回撤1642再多比较稳健，上方看至1652-53Near.



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crude oilMarket trend analysis;



    原油昨天整体走势还是很弱，虽然中途有反弹，但并没有站稳，随后再次回落，我们昨天下午给出的86.7and86.2多单也是在反弹中获利87.5.今天早间的反弹让多头再次起航，行情上破87.2可以确定本轮下跌调整结束，可以大胆看涨。不过从H4来看，行情反弹到这里基本上是可以确定是要上破87.2of.我们做多就依托昨晚的低点85.3来看涨，点位上86.5and87Loss85.2Look88-89！

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