Fang Yuan said Jin:10.31Weak start at the beginning of Golden Week, market trend analysis and operation construction...

goldMarket trend analysis:


    基本面，市场已经消化了美联储11Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期，但在有报道称美联储官员可能会就未来加息规模展开辩论后，市场目前正在降低对美联储12Monthly interest rate increase75个基点的预期。如果加息速度放缓，将对黄金有利。此外，美国还将于本周五公布10月非农就业报告。如报告强于预期，势必会提升市场对美联储继续大幅加息的预期，这将令美元受到提振，导致黄金承压，反之亦然。



   黄金技术面上看，黄金上周从1638一线在美元回落的支撑下一度冲击到了1675附近，然后再度震荡回落，在加息还没完全结束之前，黄金多头就难有太大的延续，本周这些重磅的消息公布之前，市场预期会比较谨慎，周初关注1637-8这个日线双底的强支撑情况，上方关注1660附近压力，周初关注这个区间反复整理情况。



黄金早盘操作建议：1641Nearby, stop loss1635Look1650-56


                             1656Near empty, stop loss1662Look1640-38，关注破位情况



crude oilMarket trend analysis;


   原油上周五开盘在88.608dollar/桶，开盘后出现了震荡下跌走势，最低点触及87.561美元企稳震荡，高点在88.7水平承压，低点在87.5水平企稳。日线最终收线在了88.117dollar/桶，后行情以一根上下影线很长的纺锤形态收线，而这样的形态收尾后，延续看涨思路。4小时图惯性探高后回落收平，在震荡行情中伴随了探高收低。隔日会先走回落的机率较大，也就是短线释放空间之后续量不足，尾盘收低修正。局部同时周线震荡收尾。而日内区间先要关注昨日89.70-87.30间的破位。原油处于区间震荡中，后市操作上考虑高空低多策略，上方关注89.0-89.7USD resistance, follow below87.3-87.0美元支撑，意外下破就看85.1One line of US dollars.

Note: This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. If reprinted, please indicate the source. Kind reminder, investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Due to the latency of online publishing, operational suggestions are for reference only. Specific locations will be provided based on actual data. Please take risk control measures yourself.