Fang Yuan said Jin:10.25Analysis and operational strategies of the evening US market trend

goldTrend analysis:


    本周，投资者将密切关注美国三季度GDP初值以及美联储密切关注的通胀指标PCE指数。数据若表象强势很容易重新助长美联储鹰派，推动美国收益率和美元走高，并施压黄金走低。


    当前欧美经济衰退信号重现。美国10Monthly manufacturing industryPMI两年来首次跌破枯荣线，服务业第四个月萎缩。欧元区10Monthly comprehensivePMI连续四个月低于荣枯线，创23个月新低，制造业和服务业均萎缩。加上之前美联储的官员的鸽派言论，让投资者认为欧美央行可能转向，因为他们觉得，在如此不堪的数据面前，加息将进一步导致经济衰退。欧美股市反弹。美债收益率止跌转涨、逼近逾十年高位。


    从当前盘面来看，周五旱地拔葱大阳收盘，昨天冲高回落单K收阴，而这里运行在底部中，所以结构型上涨不变，同时与前边仍然是对称，从时间上正常应该修正五K，所以从日图来看还是多，而四小时昨天跌破上线后回调了10块，这也是为什么昨天欧盘选择在54直接空的原因，而当下上线这进而压制仍然有效，但是从结构上来看还得反复修正，现在形态上弱空，但是四小时以下级别别都形成多，所以结合日图来看，现在只有四小时处于一个修正空白期，一旦修复完毕，进一步向上运行仍然是大概率，而下方仍然是昨天的低点这里，破了回H2通道这里测试，所以综合得出结论如下：结构性多不变，回落买入，但是短期四小时有弱空出现，所以先空下去再多。




　　晚间美盘黄金策略：


　　1，1650Near empty, stop loss6USD, target1640-30


　　2，1630Nearby, stop loss6USD, target1640-50


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crude oilMarket trend analysis:


   原油进过半天的横盘之后，并未继续顺势反弹上行。今天日内欧盘时段空头来袭，彻底陷入宽幅震荡中。目前短期来看，多头并未完全失势，晚间或存一次反弹机遇。日内压力84.80~85.60Supported on82.70~81.30。82.70的位置将会成为多头最后的底线，倘若这个位置失守，那么空头将会看至80.30~79.80。原油操作建议82.70做多，风控82.30, Objective85.80~87.10。

Note: This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. If reprinted, please indicate the source. Kind reminder, investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market. Due to the latency of online publishing, operational suggestions are for reference only. Specific locations will be provided based on actual data. Please take risk control measures yourself.