Fang Yuan said Jin:9.21Interest rate hike coming, trend analysis and operational layout

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goldMarket trend analysis;


   Wednesday(9month21day)Entering the European market, after Russian President Putin threatened to escalate the war against Ukraine, market risk aversion increased, European stocks came under pressure, the euro fell, and the US dollar continued to climb20At the same time, gold has also received a partial boost and returned to a new high in the year1670Above, but for bulls, the greater risk lies in today's Federal Reserve resolution, which the market is highly vigilant about.


   On Wednesday, Russian President Putin signed a partial mobilization order, and the escalation of geopolitical risks gave gold some safe haven buying, but there is still a long way to go2020year4The lowest level since the beginning of the month is not far away, and investors are preparing to welcome the Federal Reserve(Fed)The possibility of another major interest rate hike in response to inflation. After Russia announced partial mobilization, spot gold rebounded in the short term1670Above the US dollar, the highest touch1676Nearby, with the highest daily rise15USD.


   Prior to the Federal Reserve's decision, the daily chart showed a bearish triangular flag in the trend of gold prices. Gold bears need to see that the daily closing of gold prices is at an upward trend line support level1678dollar/Below the ounce to confirm a bearish triangular flag. If the gold price continues to fall below the bearish technical pattern29Month low point1654dollar/Ounces, gold prices will fall towards1650dollar/Ounce psychological level. If left behind1650dollar/Ounces, then gold prices may further test the downward trend line support level1645dollar/ounce. Relative strength index(RSI)Located above the oversold area, close to32.00This indicates that there is still room for a downward trend in gold prices.


   On the upside, bulls need to see gold prices break through recent highs(near1680dollar/ounce)If so, the next resistance to gold prices lies in1700dollar/About ounces. The closing price of gold on the day is at1700dollar/For further rebound above ounces21Daily moving average1707dollar/Ounces are crucial. Speaking of 1000 to 10000, today's focus is still on1680At the checkpoint, it is expected that gold will break through1680For those who achieve strong uplift, they can consider hanging1681Break through multiple orders. The US stock market is still bullish after stepping back, so pay attention first1669Nearby support, and then1660With support from the checkpoint, it is highly likely that the US stock market will continue to decline and wash out multiple orders, waiting for interest rate hikes to hit the ground and soar into the sky.


Golden Strategy:1--1662Nearby, stop loss1657, Objective1670-1675(The idea is for reference only, and the specific points will be provided based on a firm offer.)


          2--1678Near empty, stop loss1683, Objective1670-1666(The idea is for reference only, and the specific points will be provided based on a firm offer.)






crude oilMarket trend analysis;


    9month21day(Wednesday)At the beginning of the Asian market, Meiyou Trading Co., Ltd84dollar/Near the barrel, oil prices fell on Tuesday, and the US dollar remained strong. Investors expect the Federal Reserve to further raise interest rates to curb inflation. The oil market has also been responding to weak consumption. Due to high oil prices,7Driving trips in the United States decreased for the second consecutive month. As demand decreases, retail gasoline prices have fallen from their peak. Focus on the United States within the day8Annual total sales of completed housesEIAdata Thursday2:00The Federal Reserve announces interest rate decisions.


    US oil prices rose from mid day last week90Under pressure above the checkpoint, it retreated and fell below during the session85The US dollar, with its final price closing near this level, continued to retreat and hit a low on Monday81.76After stabilizing in the US dollar area, it has rebounded and returned to85Above the US dollar, multiple parties basically recovered their losses during the day, with a longer shadow bar recorded on the daily chart. Yesterday's market fell weakly again. Starting from this week until now, oil prices have remained low and have been operating in a consolidation manner. From a daily perspective, prices have remained below the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average has crossed and dropped. Other cycles of the moving average have also shown a bearish arrangement, with short-term indicators sticking together and leveling out one after another. They are expected to break through again in the short term, and overall, they are still in a downward trend.


    The fluctuation of US oil prices is intense and the range is large, with a weak technical situation. The indicators show that the resistance is located in86.73In the US dollar zone, however, as bearish positions continue to lower, resistance shifts accordingly. The primary resistance for the day is to take a look first86The US dollar can intervene in short selling upon its first arrival, as short selling is a downtrend operation82Below the US dollar.



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    The most important thing in investing is not how much you can earn in a week, but whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, medium term bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for oneself and can achieve stable profits, they are all good methods. As the ancients said, "Don't do small things for good, and don't do small things for evil. The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right.



    This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan provides online solutions, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Real time ideas are provided at the current price. Please indicate the source when reprinting.