Fang Yuan said Jin:9.19Gold once fell under pressure1660The Federal Reserve's hawkish interest rate hikes

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goldMarket trend analysis;



   Monday(9month19day)Entering the European market session, the market remained cautious ahead of the opening of the key central bank week, with losses in European stocks widening and US stocksfuturesDeclining, the US dollar maintains a strong stance and returns once again110Above, gold continued to decline and fell again1670USD. The market is focused on this week's Federal Reserve resolution, which will determine the fate of gold bulls.


   With the strengthening of the US dollar, gold has opened a crucial week with a new decline, and investors are paying attention to the Federal Reserve(Fed)Prepare for the interest rate decision, which may bring greater pressure to gold. Gold prices fell on Monday as investors prepared for a major central bank interest rate hike this week, especially the Federal Reserve, to curb high inflation. Spot gold fell more than expected within the day10The US dollar, once lost1660Pass, maximum decline0.9%Continuing the decline in the past month against the backdrop of the continuous rise of the US dollar. The market expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates75Basis points, but last week's hot inflation data prompted some to bet that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates75Basis points.



   Gold fell back to1660After being close to the front line, there was a certain rebound, but the rebound strength during the European period was indeed very small, with the peak only reaching1666On the front line, such a small rebound is enough to prove that the current market bulls' confidence is very low, and the overall sentiment is still in a bearish state. On the hourly chart, the trend of gold also shows a trend of evolving towards a horizontal triangular oscillation. Over time, the triangular oscillation zone may gradually narrow, and ultimately wait for the Federal Reserve interest rate to determine the direction early Thursday morning. However, it should be noted that the overall market sentiment is empty, and the market is easy to fall but difficult to rise1660Even below1650There will be competition nearby, which will be supportive, but once the market sentiment is once again extreme short, it may expand the downward space again at any time. So from now until early Thursday, the main idea is to maintain the expectation of weak fluctuations and the expectation that the market may expand the adjustment space, but also to prevent the risk of abnormal movements in the market before major fundamental events. Stay tuned above the evening gold1670Nearby short pressure, the main pressure remains focused1677-80Belt, follow below1660Competition, mainly supporting attention1655-50One area. In terms of operation, the main idea is still to hold short positions and continue to choose high short positions. In key support positions, it is advisable to moderately try to short long positions, but it is important to recognize the risks of current long orders and only limit them to ultra-short positions. Do not blindly expect.




    Operation suggestions:  Gold rebound1680Empty, stop loss8US dollars, look1660-1650First line (for reference only, specific point locations will be provided on a firm offer)


                      gold1660Multiple batches, stop loss8US dollars, look1680-1690frontline (For reference only, specific locations will be provided on a firm offer)






crude oilMarket trend analysis;


   The weekly decline in oil prices has raised concerns that a significant interest rate hike will suppress global economic growth and demand for fuel. Oil prices rose slightly last Friday, following a slight increase in Basra, Iraq(Basra)The spill at the dock seems to be limiting the supply of crude oil. Investors are preparing for a significant increase in US interest rates, which could lead to an economic recession and reduce fuel demand. People generally expect the Federal Reserve to9month20-21The policy meeting on the day will raise its target overnight interest rate75Basis points. Energy service company Baker Hughes said that the number of active oil and gas rigs increased last week, the first time in three weeks.


   Last week, there was not much turbulence in crude oil, and the overall situation was in a wide range of fluctuations. It has also launched a double dip trend as scheduled, and there have been no signs of stabilization so far. The weekly closing line also appears as a cross star with a long shadow. At the beginning of the week, the trend began to rebound by following last week's trend, and finally, from123.6reach81.2Whole round decline23.6%Golden Section Integer Gate90Under pressure nearby. In terms of news, the US ambassador stated that the oil price ceiling set for Russia will be discussed at the United Nations General Assembly. And stated that there are no plans to meet with the Russian side during the United Nations conference. After the increase in production in the Middle East region and the shift of Russian exports from Europe to the Asia Pacific region, the export volume began to rise, as supply concerns intensified as winter approached, overcoming the impact of weak demand expectations. Negotiations on the Iran nuclear agreement are still possible, and it is expected that oil price fluctuations will become more severe. At present, the weekly and daily trends are not very friendly to bulls, and crude oil may continue to hit a bottom this week, which cannot be ruled out as it directly sets a new low. Suggest short-term attention from above in terms of crude oil operation strategy today87.0-88.0One line of resistance, pay attention below82.5-82.0Frontline support.












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    The most important thing in investing is not how much you can earn in a week, but whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, medium term bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for oneself and can achieve stable profits, they are all good methods. As the ancients said, "Don't do small things for good, and don't do small things for evil. The answer to all questions is never unique and unchanging. Whether the market is going up or down, you cannot control it yourself. Only by keeping up with the pulse of the market can you avoid being eliminated. The market cannot always go up or down, and what is certain is that it will always go right.



    This article is provided by Fang Yuan. I interpret world economic news, analyze global investment trends, and conduct in-depth research on commodities such as crude oil, gold, and silver. Technical Director Fang Yuan provides online solutions, returns losses, and provides one-on-one real-time guidance on WeChat. Due to the delayed nature of online push, the above content is my personal suggestion. Due to the timeliness of online posts, it is for reference only and at my own risk. Real time ideas are provided at the current price. Please indicate the source when reprinting.