Fang Yuan said Jin:9.12黄金今日还是先看区间，走势分析及操作策略

      On the path of investment, choosing a professional teacher is particularly important. Although I cannot provide you with too much warmth, there is a word that calls for doing my best. There is no overnight wealth here, no 100% secret to making money, but a stable trading system and a sincere heart. If you believe me, come to me and say too many unrealistic things, I think it would be very hypocritical. Do not seek overnight wealth, but seek small streams and long streams! Mutual respect and trust are the only ways to achieve true cooperation, and cooperation is the only way to achieve win-win results! When shopping, you have to shop around and I will respect your choice as much as possible! But my strength is waiting for you to verify!


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goldMarket trend analysis;


   美国劳工统计局将于周二发布8Monthly Consumer Price Index(CPI)数据。按月计算，CPI预计将下降0.1%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将保持在0.3%不变。联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)政策制定者没有确认9Monthly interest rate increase75个基点，疲弱的通胀报告可能导致加息50个基点的概率上升。在这种情况下，美国国债收益率可能会大幅下跌，并引发金价的决定性反弹。另一方面，CPI数据强于预期可能巩固加息75个基点的决定，令黄金无法上涨。但值得注意的是，市场已经倾向于大幅加息，这表明美元的潜在涨幅可能仍然有限。



上周行情黄金收盘1715上也是最近收盘在日线5Rihe10日均线上，说明多头反弹延续，目前看支撑上移1712区域继续做多，始终坚持不破1700区域，还是继续反弹，当然目前支撑主要集中1712and1703区域，上周更多行情围绕1703reach1730横盘整理，只有突破1735带能摆脱颓势。大区间的支撑看1700得失，1700点位跟前期1680，1688，1692点位同样的价值，支撑效果非常强，回落看试探反弹大空间，只要不破，就不会是极弱。周一预计震荡，周二看CPI数据对暂时黄金技术面影响，周三，周四会有大行情出现。本周初黄金大概率还是会先延续区间震荡，上方依旧着重关注前期低点与20The pressure of daily line construction1730First line, follow below first5Daily line1712-10Competition, market impact5The choice of daily chart may also affect the short-term direction expectation.

     Multi order strategy:1712附近多。止损1703, Objective1727-1735

     空单策略：首次触及1728附近择机空， Stop loss1732,Stop surplus1713


crude oilMarket trend analysis;


   油价上周五上涨超4%，受减产供应威胁支持，但由于激进的加息和对需求前景担忧，油价周线下跌。需要注意的是，欧盟拟征收能源公司超额利润，且俄能源部长称，不会亏本向限价国家出售油气，这或将在本周提振油价。耶伦表示，美国正在采取行动，通过设定价格上限来降低俄罗斯的收入，同时维持俄罗斯的石油供应，从而降低全球油价。能源服务公司贝克休斯公司表示，美国石油钻井平台上周减少五座，至591座，是6月中旬以来的最低值。尽管能源价格相对较高，但钻井平台数量和产量的增长已经放缓。

   美油上周受多方面因素影响，走势呈现先跌后回弹态势，周线收得一阴十字星线，预示下跌节奏可能会有暂缓。而从日线结构来看，上周后半周出现看涨K线组合形态，但又在10日线受阻，所以本周行情可能会有一个回修震荡的过程，不过下跌也不会很大，节奏会放缓，后期回升空间也不会很大，大概率会在本周继续震荡消耗，如果想要强势回升，那么基本的利好是不能少的，否则美油整体结构可能还要偏空一些。

   操作建议上日内首次回落84There are many nearby connections, but if we drop back first84Rebound to86.1-3Can be empty; If the pullback is not in place and the rebound is not in place, the first short order will be placed87Near.


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    In the market, there are3The famous saying of Zhili: firstly, the market fluctuates according to trends; secondly, history repeats itself; and thirdly, the market encompasses everything. The biggest enemy in the market is yourself. Believe in the power of the market, make orders based on trends, operate mechanically, and do not make orders based on emotions. The gold market is an open, fair, and just market. Only by defeating yourself can you defeat the market.


    本文由方源供稿，本人解读世界经济要闻，剖析全球投资大趋势，对原油、黄金、白银等大宗商品等有深入的研究，技术总监方源说金在线解一套，亏损回本，一对一实时指导微一信。由于网络推送延迟性，以上内容属于个人建议，因网络发文有时效性，仅供参考，风险自担，实时思路现价给出，转载请注明出处。